{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f3898b0d-e887-4d2f-9bff-22172826ec0e",
    "symbol": "VFMF",
    "name": "VANGUARD U.S. MULTIFACTOR ETF ETF SHARES",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-21",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.889,
    "architecture_energy": 84.426,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.372,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.692,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 77.66,
        "upward_expansion": 96.67,
        "deceleration": 41.68,
        "rotation_down": 16.09,
        "downward_expansion": 18.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        185.495273,
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        178.730039,
        174.358307
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 186.77,
    "trend_reference": 169.077041,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.104644,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 133.557168,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.398427,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 6.526462,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.146904,
    "excess_performance": 0.030331,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104644,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062449,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.398427,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059005,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065265,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0427,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146904,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.245343,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
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      "relative_activity": 1.246677,
      "balance": 6.245343,
      "dry_up": 1.407682,
      "accumulation_observations": 7,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01941,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.1122,
      "from_high_reference": -0.006912,
      "from_low_reference": 0.352012
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 133.557168,
      "structural_low": 150.767135,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.000799,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.056761,
        "worst_return": -0.097494,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.096415,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.060519,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "fair_value": 131.406473,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 252100,
        "typical_volume": 152195.45,
        "trend": 166.000754,
        "fair_value": 131.914411,
        "relative_strength": 7.052189,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.217544,
        "energy": 87.906642,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 184.7589,
        "volume": 246832,
        "typical_volume": 161128.9,
        "trend": 166.986099,
        "fair_value": 132.44036,
        "relative_strength": 4.795978,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.841532,
        "energy": 88.04513,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 187.4806,
        "volume": 287887,
        "typical_volume": 171675.65,
        "trend": 168.044907,
        "fair_value": 132.999411,
        "relative_strength": 5.682222,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.692203,
        "energy": 91.035301,
        "activity_lines": [
          184.24924,
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          173.150237
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 186.77,
        "volume": 223745,
        "typical_volume": 179473.1,
        "trend": 169.077041,
        "fair_value": 133.557168,
        "relative_strength": 6.526462,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.889278,
        "energy": 84.42633,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}