{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f38b0bf5-dbca-4030-9d6a-d568ca342568", "symbol": "RML", "name": "Raimon Land Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.19, "architecture_energy": 44.552, "architecture_maturity": 37.538, "architecture_confidence": 92.918, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.08, "rotation_up": 18.49, "upward_expansion": 6.77, "deceleration": 46.33, "rotation_down": 56.04, "downward_expansion": 80.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.09, 0.092727, 0.097905, 0.102753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.09, "trend_reference": 0.108333, "distance_from_trend": -0.169231, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.268391, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.664669, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.349665, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.181818, "excess_performance": -0.374143, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.169231, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094708, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.664669, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.020692, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.363497, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076104, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.181818, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3456200, "relative_activity": 0.984672, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 0.509936, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153846, "annualized_volatility": 0.420658, "from_high_reference": -0.5, "from_low_reference": 0.125 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.108333, "fair_value_reference": 0.268391, "structural_low": 0.08, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": -0.037037, "positive_rate": 0.282051, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.021986, "regime_survival": 0.871795, "best_return": 0.275862, "worst_return": -0.307692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.107771, "positive_rate": 0.214286, "directional_follow_through": 0.785714, "median_excess_return": -0.13825, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.348837, "worst_return": -0.4, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.222701, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": -0.171691, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.085106, "worst_return": -0.48, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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0.113333, "fair_value": 0.279609, "relative_strength": -39.44384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.08166, "energy": 45.943045, "activity_lines": [ 0.096667, 0.098727, 0.104429, 0.108323 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.09, "volume": 1038300, "typical_volume": 4113495.0, "trend": 0.112333, "fair_value": 0.276597, "relative_strength": -39.41847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.94912, "energy": 47.160953, "activity_lines": [ 0.094, 0.096727, 0.102619, 0.106817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.09, "volume": 1816600, "typical_volume": 3863615.0, "trend": 0.111, "fair_value": 0.27384, "relative_strength": -38.915606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.147104, "energy": 54.463657, "activity_lines": [ 0.092, 0.095091, 0.100952, 0.105376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.09, "volume": 848400, "typical_volume": 3734190.0, "trend": 0.109667, "fair_value": 0.271148, "relative_strength": -37.538113, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.628861, "energy": 54.298282, "activity_lines": [ 0.090667, 0.093818, 0.099381, 0.104022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.09, "volume": 3456200, "typical_volume": 3510000.0, "trend": 0.108333, "fair_value": 0.268391, "relative_strength": -36.349665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.19001, "energy": 44.551754, "activity_lines": [ 0.09, 0.092727, 0.097905, 0.102753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }