{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3b11f8a-9596-47fe-b38c-ff98202fc541", "symbol": "300671", "name": "Shenzhen Fine Made Electronics Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.068, "architecture_energy": 23.355, "architecture_maturity": 75.178, "architecture_confidence": 90.414, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.02, "rotation_up": 26.11, "upward_expansion": 62.41, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 33.56, "downward_expansion": 17.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.085332, 68.052544, 61.658714, 57.013505 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 63.919998, "trend_reference": 51.647333, "distance_from_trend": 0.237624, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 36.043974, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.773389, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 38.65553, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.197901, "excess_performance": 0.190501, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.237624, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.262617, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.773389, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.211738, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.386555, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.210723, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.197901, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.618036, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90450600, "relative_activity": 1.347373, "balance": 0.618036, "dry_up": 1.370728, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222249, "annualized_volatility": 0.894892, "from_high_reference": -0.394582, "from_low_reference": 1.044786 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 51.647333, "fair_value_reference": 36.043974, "structural_low": 35.849998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.059046, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.05634, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.795186, "worst_return": -0.232437, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.154875, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.090316, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.546152, "worst_return": -0.278871, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.222155, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.101788, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": -0.023669, "worst_return": -0.423871, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.187191, "energy": 57.550856, "activity_lines": [ 75.261332, 69.736908, 60.717809, 55.865355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 54.32, "volume": 83822597, "typical_volume": 64972779.55, "trend": 50.579667, "fair_value": 35.88782, "relative_strength": 25.330324, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.09809, "energy": 29.60071, "activity_lines": [ 67.515333, 68.060181, 60.764857, 56.152838 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.919998, "volume": 90450600, "typical_volume": 67131073.35, "trend": 51.647333, "fair_value": 36.043974, "relative_strength": 38.65553, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.068451, "energy": 23.354956, "activity_lines": [ 64.085332, 68.052544, 61.658714, 57.013505 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }