{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3b2d585-07ff-4053-a06e-f9d52cef4a87", "symbol": "B1FC34", "name": "Brown-Forman Corporation", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 9.122, "architecture_energy": 8.627, "architecture_maturity": 14.671, "architecture_confidence": 56.373, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.04, "rotation_up": 30.63, "upward_expansion": 25.11, "deceleration": 45.39, "rotation_down": 26.88, "downward_expansion": 54.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 135.693332, 134.883636, 134.508207, 135.7412 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 145.330002, "trend_reference": 138.171481, "distance_from_trend": 0.051809, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 211.725204, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.313591, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.005581, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.042373, "excess_performance": 0.014676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051809, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034796, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.313591, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.085801, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.030056, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218231, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.042373, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.633609, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30, "relative_activity": 0.016179, "balance": 0.633609, "dry_up": 0.03101, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026079, "annualized_volatility": 0.392308, "from_high_reference": -0.119572, "from_low_reference": 0.230776 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 138.171481, "fair_value_reference": 211.725204, "structural_low": 118.080002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.008912, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.014007, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.102372, "worst_return": -0.137053, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.021822, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.03375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.057904, "worst_return": -0.174231, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.184205, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.218102, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.122327, "worst_return": -0.309918, "sufficient": false }, { 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"down", "direction": -57.165727, "energy": 42.169851, "activity_lines": [ 131.589202, 132.812721, 135.915264, 138.544428 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 136.669998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1942.1, "trend": 142.091592, "fair_value": 219.540095, "relative_strength": -11.985761, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.488649, "energy": 28.343022, "activity_lines": [ 133.422398, 133.007593, 135.702542, 138.178051 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 136.669998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1938.75, "trend": 141.834346, "fair_value": 218.49517, "relative_strength": -13.929148, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.155482, "energy": 20.55334, "activity_lines": [ 134.921554, 133.45824, 135.499635, 137.828271 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 136.669998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1927.55, "trend": 140.910269, "fair_value": 217.382836, "relative_strength": -14.006721, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -30.369035, "energy": 22.212389, "activity_lines": [ 136.086672, 134.077039, 135.368587, 137.495087 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 130.199997, "volume": 29, "typical_volume": 1929.0, "trend": 139.800672, "fair_value": 216.229027, "relative_strength": -19.084733, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.387564, "energy": 23.157569, "activity_lines": [ 134.513331, 133.590971, 134.712518, 136.804102 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 130.949997, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 1936.75, "trend": 138.716075, "fair_value": 215.080027, "relative_strength": -15.907826, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.824099, "energy": 30.156988, "activity_lines": [ 133.037997, 133.185599, 134.249855, 136.233091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 130.949997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1931.75, "trend": 138.250977, "fair_value": 213.931026, "relative_strength": -15.134398, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.758795, "energy": 39.993865, "activity_lines": [ 131.943997, 132.867197, 133.873512, 135.732053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 130.949997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1907.85, "trend": 137.88725, "fair_value": 212.782026, "relative_strength": -16.039434, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.661427, "energy": 65.715581, "activity_lines": [ 131.23133, 132.561695, 133.520026, 135.261022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 145.330002, "volume": 30, "typical_volume": 1854.25, "trend": 138.171481, "fair_value": 211.725204, "relative_strength": -3.005581, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 9.122486, "energy": 8.62697, "activity_lines": [ 135.693332, 134.883636, 134.508207, 135.7412 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }