{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3b997f1-5998-422c-825a-d31c733dee63", "symbol": "ALDNE", "name": "Don't Nod Entertainment S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 92.962, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.514, "architecture_energy": 34.656, "architecture_maturity": 26.923, "architecture_confidence": 85.938, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.05, "rotation_up": 17.46, "upward_expansion": 3.02, "deceleration": 53.05, "rotation_down": 54.44, "downward_expansion": 76.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.4196, 0.429345, 0.444476, 0.454232 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.395, "trend_reference": 0.483333, "distance_from_trend": -0.182759, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.009249, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.803409, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -39.100156, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.341667, "excess_performance": -0.394978, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.182759, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119665, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.803409, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054204, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098687, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.341667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.529865, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 66118, "relative_activity": 1.273061, "balance": 3.529865, "dry_up": 0.877143, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158325, "annualized_volatility": 0.774295, "from_high_reference": -0.593621, "from_low_reference": 0.067568 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.483333, "fair_value_reference": 2.009249, "structural_low": 0.37, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 52, "median_return": -0.047946, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": -0.054012, "regime_survival": 0.865385, "best_return": 0.550218, "worst_return": -0.392573, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.16129, "positive_rate": 0.235294, "directional_follow_through": 0.764706, "median_excess_return": -0.143464, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.223881, "worst_return": -0.383289, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.180873, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.259251, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.16726, "worst_return": -0.609091, "sufficient": true }, 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2.225896, "relative_strength": -38.914342, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.185639, "energy": 43.785918, "activity_lines": [ 0.429933, 0.456564, 0.454271, 0.474075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.44, "volume": 68055, "typical_volume": 59408.75, "trend": 0.506367, "fair_value": 2.173717, "relative_strength": -32.724243, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.923039, "energy": 36.702995, "activity_lines": [ 0.427133, 0.453473, 0.452571, 0.46948 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.439, "volume": 23327, "typical_volume": 56368.65, "trend": 0.499867, "fair_value": 2.117556, "relative_strength": -32.041239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.969872, "energy": 47.632651, "activity_lines": [ 0.428133, 0.449109, 0.451319, 0.465133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.429, "volume": 24722, "typical_volume": 52575.15, "trend": 0.4931, "fair_value": 2.063896, "relative_strength": -33.524866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.762784, "energy": 34.50141, "activity_lines": [ 0.429867, 0.4424, 0.44949, 0.460561 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.395, "volume": 66118, "typical_volume": 51936.25, "trend": 0.483333, "fair_value": 2.009249, "relative_strength": -39.100156, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.514074, "energy": 34.656021, "activity_lines": [ 0.4196, 0.429345, 0.444476, 0.454232 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }