{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3d3398d-2d9e-43f7-95a2-ea8f2bb9c085", "symbol": "002562", "name": "Brother Enterprises Holding Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.569, "architecture_energy": 62.416, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 29.18, "upward_expansion": 12.0, "deceleration": 60.95, "rotation_down": 52.84, "downward_expansion": 85.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.404667, 4.428364, 4.759964, 5.165975 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 4.56, "trend_reference": 5.743654, "distance_from_trend": -0.20608, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.741921, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.038364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.464431, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.387097, "excess_performance": -0.394497, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.20608, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111804, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.038364, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.288588, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.294644, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060581, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.387097, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.239681, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94244956, "relative_activity": 1.005767, "balance": 0.239681, "dry_up": 1.064423, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.069365, "annualized_volatility": 0.35906, "from_high_reference": -0.454545, "from_low_reference": 0.104116 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.743654, "fair_value_reference": 4.741921, "structural_low": 4.13, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.013055, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": 0.007991, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.236749, "worst_return": -0.290816, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.009592, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.005863, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.14841, "worst_return": -0.234867, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.07191, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.040956, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.650177, "worst_return": -0.198547, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 71.052535, "activity_lines": [ 4.282667, 4.453889, 4.894055, 5.335973 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.48, "volume": 83050164, "typical_volume": 100104757.6, "trend": 5.806987, "fair_value": 4.740126, "relative_strength": -27.551662, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.492546, "energy": 66.406032, "activity_lines": [ 4.333333, 4.425294, 4.817486, 5.246426 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.56, "volume": 94244956, "typical_volume": 93704568.75, "trend": 5.743654, "fair_value": 4.741921, "relative_strength": -29.464431, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.568902, "energy": 62.416405, "activity_lines": [ 4.404667, 4.428364, 4.759964, 5.165975 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }