{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3d672a1-ebbe-44bd-bac3-40a15db74ad6", "symbol": "002972", "name": "Shenzhen Keanda Electronic Technology Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.375, "architecture_energy": 25.584, "architecture_maturity": 59.969, "architecture_confidence": 85.458, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.36, "rotation_up": 19.77, "upward_expansion": 54.23, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 44.02, "downward_expansion": 22.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.724, 14.863454, 14.390692, 13.909988 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 13.81, "trend_reference": 13.31585, "distance_from_trend": 0.03711, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.004392, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.254954, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.976108, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.140177, "excess_performance": 0.132777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.03711, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082768, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.254954, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012614, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039761, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.150196, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.140177, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.670524, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 41953577, "relative_activity": 1.316701, "balance": 0.670524, "dry_up": 1.475638, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.155183, "annualized_volatility": 0.562877, "from_high_reference": -0.308116, "from_low_reference": 0.323902 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.31585, "fair_value_reference": 11.004392, "structural_low": 10.431283, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.021862, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.003164, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.196812, "worst_return": -0.086371, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030055, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.002164, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.099939, "worst_return": -0.029238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.049371, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.133927, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.134497, "worst_return": -0.070078, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.049533, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.172354, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.103908, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.021046, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-01-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019135, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-06", "end": "2026-02-27", 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16.851999, 15.174545, 14.045527, 13.514196 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16.959999, "volume": 42796919, "typical_volume": 25389524.85, "trend": 13.055355, "fair_value": 10.95108, "relative_strength": 20.329561, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.995438, "energy": 88.192671, "activity_lines": [ 17.249999, 15.662, 14.389636, 13.776216 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.45, "volume": 47175560, "typical_volume": 27162576.6, "trend": 13.190347, "fair_value": 10.975581, "relative_strength": 20.284245, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.028276, "energy": 79.489983, "activity_lines": [ 16.862666, 15.810727, 14.568686, 13.930709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.25, "volume": 59312820, "typical_volume": 29322919.8, "trend": 13.241458, "fair_value": 10.986155, "relative_strength": 2.966128, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.227192, "energy": 36.92666, "activity_lines": [ 15.593333, 15.521454, 14.524485, 13.934557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.3, "volume": 39629014, "typical_volume": 30397706.1, "trend": 13.249368, "fair_value": 10.988636, "relative_strength": -2.686332, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.636678, "energy": 16.800857, "activity_lines": [ 14.238666, 15.051091, 14.385989, 13.873818 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.81, "volume": 41953577, "typical_volume": 31862643.95, "trend": 13.31585, "fair_value": 11.004392, "relative_strength": 3.976108, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.374858, "energy": 25.584423, "activity_lines": [ 13.724, 14.863454, 14.390692, 13.909988 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }