{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3e25e6c-0549-4552-9048-75fb8e8c4532", "symbol": "INTB3", "name": "Intelbras S.A. - Ind\u00fastria de Telecomunica\u00e7\u00e3o Eletr\u00f4nica Brasileira", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.437, "architecture_energy": 27.074, "architecture_maturity": 34.624, "architecture_confidence": 60.328, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.29, "rotation_up": 56.87, "upward_expansion": 54.21, "deceleration": 58.25, "rotation_down": 13.82, "downward_expansion": 25.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.998788, 13.650068, 13.766655, 13.787293 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 14.72, "trend_reference": 13.548213, "distance_from_trend": 0.08649, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.195311, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.03128, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 12.278937, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.214521, "excess_performance": 0.27157, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.08649, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.042482, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.03128, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001392, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.122789, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089371, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.214521, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.154867, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7788800, "relative_activity": 1.005452, "balance": 1.154867, "dry_up": 1.19024, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063125, "annualized_volatility": 0.322403, "from_high_reference": -0.078272, "from_low_reference": 0.456695 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.548213, "fair_value_reference": 15.195311, "structural_low": 12.05, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.005915, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.028618, "regime_survival": 0.588235, "best_return": 0.18589, "worst_return": -0.117707, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.007454, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.010331, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.142646, "worst_return": -0.199987, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.066444, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.051254, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.125284, "worst_return": -0.212957, "sufficient": 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10129300, "typical_volume": 8025220.0, "trend": 13.351054, "fair_value": 15.272144, "relative_strength": -0.176052, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -17.256979, "energy": 19.318607, "activity_lines": [ 13.163737, 13.222985, 13.64324, 13.63952 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.364754, "volume": 12851600, "typical_volume": 7907700.0, "trend": 13.443213, "fair_value": 15.231584, "relative_strength": 6.117194, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 8.098701, "energy": 5.592318, "activity_lines": [ 13.53588, 13.408002, 13.688971, 13.70492 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.72, "volume": 7788800, "typical_volume": 7746565.0, "trend": 13.548213, "fair_value": 15.195311, "relative_strength": 12.278937, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.436635, "energy": 27.074319, "activity_lines": [ 13.998788, 13.650068, 13.766655, 13.787293 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }