{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f3f33b52-7696-4306-bc98-e5b21e030733",
    "symbol": "SMM",
    "name": "Somerset Minerals Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -44.603,
    "architecture_energy": 35.507,
    "architecture_maturity": 83.235,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.025,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.39,
        "rotation_up": 27.72,
        "upward_expansion": 18.8,
        "deceleration": 47.0,
        "rotation_down": 33.17,
        "downward_expansion": 66.46
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.009267,
        0.008555,
        0.010202,
        0.012006
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.012,
    "trend_reference": 0.014167,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.152941,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.023288,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.484702,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -19.595771,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.25,
    "excess_performance": -0.313706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.152941,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.110879,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.484702,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042038,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.195958,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.135043,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.25,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.510452,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 99053274,
      "relative_activity": 7.337097,
      "balance": 1.510452,
      "dry_up": 2.356225,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.189103,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.136673,
      "from_high_reference": -0.478261,
      "from_low_reference": 1.0
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.014167,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.023288,
      "structural_low": 0.006,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": -0.083333,
        "positive_rate": 0.341463,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.560976,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073383,
        "regime_survival": 0.829268,
        "best_return": 1.333333,
        "worst_return": -0.727274,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.116696,
        "positive_rate": 0.214286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.155548,
        "regime_survival": 0.642857,
        "best_return": 0.461538,
        "worst_return": -0.588234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.341667,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.392202,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.615385,
        "worst_return": -0.815789,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.476471,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.571194,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.076923,
        "worst_return": -0.887097,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
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        "return": 0.153846,
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 5934590,
        "typical_volume": 9401919.7,
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        "fair_value": 0.024447,
        "relative_strength": -44.188341,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -65.502848,
        "energy": 66.048991,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0085,
        "volume": 17542113,
        "typical_volume": 9166367.25,
        "trend": 0.014333,
        "fair_value": 0.023815,
        "relative_strength": -41.590878,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.849512,
        "energy": 61.001929,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.007833,
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          0.010233,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.012,
        "volume": 99053274,
        "typical_volume": 13500336.45,
        "trend": 0.014167,
        "fair_value": 0.023288,
        "relative_strength": -19.595771,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -44.603137,
        "energy": 35.507291,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}