{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f3fa0cf5-4960-4cd3-aaab-8daccc1e3abd", "symbol": "8A1", "name": "Heptamax International Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.909, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 72.35, "architecture_energy": 42.025, "architecture_maturity": 20.946, "architecture_confidence": 46.99, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.78, "rotation_up": 61.08, "upward_expansion": 71.86, "deceleration": 70.26, "rotation_down": 18.71, "downward_expansion": 10.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1016, 0.0998, 0.099476, 0.098985 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.109, "trend_reference": 0.097733, "distance_from_trend": 0.11528, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.100545, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.084093, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.364087, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.135417, "excess_performance": -0.019418, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.11528, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022015, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.084093, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.130671, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093641, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006225, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.135417, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 89.095745, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 327400, "relative_activity": 6.74982, "balance": 89.095745, "dry_up": 4.160911, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040932, "annualized_volatility": 0.254465, "from_high_reference": -0.161538, "from_low_reference": 0.676923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.097733, "fair_value_reference": 0.100545, "structural_low": 0.091, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.070647, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": -0.061277, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.134615, "worst_return": -0.321429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.115385, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.096173, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.136364, "worst_return": -0.526667, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.189669, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.265704, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.153846, "worst_return": -0.553333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.041667, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007053, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.180952, "worst_return": -0.204545, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.097222, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.1375, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.28866, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", 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"2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.052632, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038462, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-03", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.142857, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.075, "volume": 56900, "typical_volume": 65745.0, "trend": 0.117, "fair_value": 0.113724, "relative_strength": -36.892035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", 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"trend": 0.098367, "fair_value": 0.099615, "relative_strength": -9.480256, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.051711, "energy": 20.707261, "activity_lines": [ 0.1, 0.100564, 0.09941, 0.098733 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.091, "volume": 300, "typical_volume": 9050.0, "trend": 0.097967, "fair_value": 0.099769, "relative_strength": -20.839227, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -34.255789, "energy": 37.633413, "activity_lines": [ 0.097, 0.098927, 0.098667, 0.098258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.095, "volume": 1500, "typical_volume": 9025.0, "trend": 0.097733, "fair_value": 0.099942, "relative_strength": -17.966031, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.345209, "energy": 39.062115, "activity_lines": [ 0.095933, 0.098091, 0.098329, 0.098067 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.094, "volume": 9100, "typical_volume": 8970.0, "trend": 0.0975, "fair_value": 0.100128, "relative_strength": -19.901311, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.967811, "energy": 57.815282, "activity_lines": [ 0.094867, 0.097073, 0.09791, 0.097826 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.104, "volume": 469300, "typical_volume": 32190.0, "trend": 0.097533, "fair_value": 0.100321, "relative_strength": -12.143266, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 13.677752, "energy": 19.060045, "activity_lines": [ 0.097533, 0.097982, 0.098467, 0.098245 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.109, "volume": 327400, "typical_volume": 48505.0, "trend": 0.097733, "fair_value": 0.100545, "relative_strength": -9.364087, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.350451, "energy": 42.02522, "activity_lines": [ 0.1016, 0.0998, 0.099476, 0.098985 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }