{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f408c6b7-f74b-4900-8d8c-02e6020cfb3f",
    "symbol": "MCK",
    "name": "McKesson Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 48.682,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 30.412,
    "architecture_energy": 36.435,
    "architecture_maturity": 8.29,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.831,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 38.58,
        "rotation_up": 67.72,
        "upward_expansion": 44.34,
        "deceleration": 31.2,
        "rotation_down": 14.21,
        "downward_expansion": 17.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        852.273333,
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        806.670837,
        821.357936
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 869.58,
    "trend_reference": 840.99095,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.033994,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 645.094335,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.347989,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.936183,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.081597,
    "excess_performance": -0.207222,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.033994,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010123,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.347989,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14746,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.049362,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.125113,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081597,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.574581,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 6842533,
      "relative_activity": 1.336308,
      "balance": 3.574581,
      "dry_up": 1.002239,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.057182,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.267798,
      "from_high_reference": -0.128578,
      "from_low_reference": 0.370704
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 840.99095,
      "fair_value_reference": 645.094335,
      "structural_low": 722.873332,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.061183,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048264,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.045166,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.060009,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": 0.010632,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.270813,
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        "worst_return": 0.166652,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": 0.399292,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4924571.55,
        "trend": 838.009232,
        "fair_value": 639.481286,
        "relative_strength": -3.671634,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -0.952498,
        "energy": 17.613543,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 856.19,
        "volume": 5003416,
        "typical_volume": 5026948.4,
        "trend": 839.154163,
        "fair_value": 642.30272,
        "relative_strength": -3.006243,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 6.801375,
        "energy": 25.001981,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 869.58,
        "volume": 6842533,
        "typical_volume": 5120475.4,
        "trend": 840.99095,
        "fair_value": 645.094335,
        "relative_strength": -4.936183,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}