{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4103ea2-6576-4d9e-819e-59a22ed99a2b", "symbol": "GTOH", "name": "Invesco High Yield Select ETF", "exchange": "CBOE", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 22.615, "architecture_energy": 14.468, "architecture_maturity": 55.392, "architecture_confidence": 72.721, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.4, "rotation_up": 30.1, "upward_expansion": 51.19, "deceleration": 76.45, "rotation_down": 32.31, "downward_expansion": 26.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.285158, 25.303164, 25.307608, 25.280626 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.335, "trend_reference": 25.25867, "distance_from_trend": 0.003022, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.394508, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.082946, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.960203, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.001893, "excess_performance": -0.123732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.003022, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004849, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.082946, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017645, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008252, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001893, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.680912, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12091, "relative_activity": 0.78528, "balance": 0.680912, "dry_up": 0.810074, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004887, "annualized_volatility": 0.033537, "from_high_reference": -0.005423, "from_low_reference": 0.041886 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 25.25867, "fair_value_reference": 23.394508, "structural_low": 24.794199, 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23.30582, "relative_strength": -7.114181, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.389426, "energy": 22.299402, "activity_lines": [ 25.337927, 25.338807, 25.305779, 25.27848 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.19, "volume": 12414, "typical_volume": 14620.7, "trend": 25.248214, "fair_value": 23.334802, "relative_strength": -6.876827, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.046018, "energy": 8.21619, "activity_lines": [ 25.29073, 25.313931, 25.300194, 25.275049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.254, "volume": 15141, "typical_volume": 15088.55, "trend": 25.25434, "fair_value": 23.364384, "relative_strength": -7.380473, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.907694, "energy": 13.749066, "activity_lines": [ 25.273171, 25.300893, 25.300599, 25.275423 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.335, "volume": 12091, "typical_volume": 15397.05, "trend": 25.25867, "fair_value": 23.394508, "relative_strength": -9.960203, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.614593, "energy": 14.467762, "activity_lines": [ 25.285158, 25.303164, 25.307608, 25.280626 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }