{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f420e980-0f98-4b6b-aa62-7adccbb43b2f",
    "symbol": "UP",
    "name": "Union Plastic Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 85.768,
    "architecture_energy": 59.997,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.896,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.734,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 7.14,
        "rotation_up": 65.58,
        "upward_expansion": 83.64,
        "deceleration": 63.68,
        "rotation_down": 21.69,
        "downward_expansion": 7.97
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23.913333,
        23.736364,
        23.475952,
        23.09293
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 24.6,
    "trend_reference": 22.282737,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.103994,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 16.734255,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.470039,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 0.910775,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.314798,
    "excess_performance": 0.122473,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.103994,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070372,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.470039,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051281,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009108,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04206,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.314798,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.231092,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 33200,
      "relative_activity": 0.841785,
      "balance": 4.231092,
      "dry_up": 0.32074,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.022827,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.297966,
      "from_high_reference": -0.016,
      "from_low_reference": 0.354242
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.282737,
      "fair_value_reference": 16.734255,
      "structural_low": 18.800918,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": -0.004566,
        "positive_rate": 0.458333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.458333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016114,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.187134,
        "worst_return": -0.126638,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.004695,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.042315,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.162664,
        "worst_return": -0.231707,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.021187,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.015818,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.151747,
        "worst_return": -0.278008,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.058422,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.082484,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.429382,
        "worst_return": -0.262712,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2024-03-08",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.142105,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037505,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005917,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "color": "red",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 50180.0,
        "trend": 20.329312,
        "fair_value": 15.876438,
        "relative_strength": -3.554827,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 52880.0,
        "trend": 20.692003,
        "fair_value": 16.040784,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 16.158147,
        "relative_strength": -3.857915,
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        "direction": 65.823708,
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 49205.0,
        "trend": 21.402217,
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        "relative_strength": -1.572511,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.091797,
        "energy": 74.392757,
        "activity_lines": [
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          22.325896
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 48180.0,
        "trend": 21.537661,
        "fair_value": 16.403983,
        "relative_strength": -4.673249,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 23.6,
        "volume": 12900,
        "typical_volume": 47690.0,
        "trend": 21.67341,
        "fair_value": 16.464854,
        "relative_strength": -4.530272,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.250649,
        "energy": 72.866056,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.6,
        "volume": 3100,
        "typical_volume": 47505.0,
        "trend": 21.824297,
        "fair_value": 16.529656,
        "relative_strength": -5.344804,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.669863,
        "energy": 53.554202,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.54,
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          23.257851,
          22.718587
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.5,
        "volume": 9400,
        "typical_volume": 46310.0,
        "trend": 21.962768,
        "fair_value": 16.595292,
        "relative_strength": -5.805105,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.514197,
        "energy": 49.534735,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.533333,
          23.525454,
          23.307639,
          22.826697
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.6,
        "volume": 4900,
        "typical_volume": 45505.0,
        "trend": 22.110627,
        "fair_value": 16.661077,
        "relative_strength": -4.007807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.07655,
        "energy": 47.104835,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.566667,
          23.54,
          23.351062,
          22.932325
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 24.6,
        "volume": 33200,
        "typical_volume": 39440.0,
        "trend": 22.282737,
        "fair_value": 16.734255,
        "relative_strength": 0.910775,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.767711,
        "energy": 59.997159,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.913333,
          23.736364,
          23.475952,
          23.09293
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}