{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f425fe5b-f2da-497f-9515-28ea667bd85a", "symbol": "SREEL", "name": "Sreeleathers Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.901, "architecture_energy": 39.386, "architecture_maturity": 16.395, "architecture_confidence": 63.292, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.95, "rotation_up": 48.95, "upward_expansion": 73.73, "deceleration": 69.05, "rotation_down": 18.95, "downward_expansion": 5.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 217.100667, 215.325638, 206.134334, 201.778062 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 216.529999, "trend_reference": 199.925275, "distance_from_trend": 0.083055, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 253.024959, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.144235, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.311819, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.033297, "excess_performance": 0.077007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.083055, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014465, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.144235, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.127116, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033118, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.170588, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.033297, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.335825, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37165, "relative_activity": 0.632326, "balance": 6.335825, "dry_up": 1.719227, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076245, "annualized_volatility": 0.258707, "from_high_reference": -0.156741, "from_low_reference": 0.310318 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 199.925275, "fair_value_reference": 253.024959, "structural_low": 165.25, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.024159, "positive_rate": 0.4375, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.008277, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.172524, "worst_return": -0.112886, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027068, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.043223, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.433562, "worst_return": -0.151835, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.059805, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.116325, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.710939, "worst_return": -0.142544, 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252.988736, "relative_strength": 12.023484, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 49.298346, "energy": 50.808643, "activity_lines": [ 217.849999, 212.967819, 202.46481, 199.826178 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 213.600006, "volume": 38267, "typical_volume": 59988.65, "trend": 199.841978, "fair_value": 252.9965, "relative_strength": 2.517246, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.997012, "energy": 41.340061, "activity_lines": [ 216.833334, 214.118547, 204.210858, 200.701415 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 216.529999, "volume": 37165, "typical_volume": 58775.1, "trend": 199.925275, "fair_value": 253.024959, "relative_strength": 3.311819, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.901257, "energy": 39.386409, "activity_lines": [ 217.100667, 215.325638, 206.134334, 201.778062 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }