{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f427cbfd-d723-425b-a2f0-9fac7bedf9fb", "symbol": "FLFL", "name": "Future Lifestyle Fashions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -31.636, "architecture_energy": 38.249, "architecture_maturity": 25.17, "architecture_confidence": 69.453, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.86, "rotation_up": 18.52, "upward_expansion": 20.89, "deceleration": 53.14, "rotation_down": 58.18, "downward_expansion": 48.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.276667, 1.310909, 1.375381, 1.371376 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.19, "trend_reference": 1.360667, "distance_from_trend": -0.125429, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.075769, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.426719, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.647654, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.055556, "excess_performance": -0.011846, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.125429, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029482, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.426719, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172128, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.166477, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.35546, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.055556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.18411, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 216776, "relative_activity": 1.168562, "balance": 0.18411, "dry_up": 0.893156, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131222, "annualized_volatility": 0.488343, "from_high_reference": -0.40201, "from_low_reference": 0.072072 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.360667, "fair_value_reference": 2.075769, "structural_low": 1.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.161826, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.063241, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.137339, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.059701, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.201117, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.151961, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.103659, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.130952, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.138554, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.063291, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-01", 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"fair_value": 2.212308, "relative_strength": -6.010933, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.35128, "energy": 12.261844, "activity_lines": [ 1.38, 1.424, 1.424905, 1.400796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.3, "volume": 79013, "typical_volume": 190626.4, "trend": 1.385667, "fair_value": 2.189551, "relative_strength": -10.319552, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.502735, "energy": 16.41641, "activity_lines": [ 1.355333, 1.392182, 1.416667, 1.394925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.27, "volume": 121278, "typical_volume": 185190.9, "trend": 1.380333, "fair_value": 2.15891, "relative_strength": -12.013858, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.482274, "energy": 27.358084, "activity_lines": [ 1.324667, 1.358909, 1.405429, 1.387462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.4, "volume": 166524, "typical_volume": 184725.3, "trend": 1.378, "fair_value": 2.130064, "relative_strength": -0.085059, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.260267, "energy": 17.205133, "activity_lines": [ 1.342, 1.358545, 1.406238, 1.388731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.29, "volume": 158168, "typical_volume": 182724.2, "trend": 1.371, "fair_value": 2.102436, "relative_strength": -9.625404, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.950758, "energy": 27.092325, "activity_lines": [ 1.322667, 1.341273, 1.395524, 1.383054 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.19, "volume": 216776, "typical_volume": 185506.7, "trend": 1.360667, "fair_value": 2.075769, "relative_strength": -16.647654, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.635702, "energy": 38.249304, "activity_lines": [ 1.276667, 1.310909, 1.375381, 1.371376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }