{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f43fd5cf-d1e4-4a2f-a0e1-d677c8f4b636", "symbol": "VDU", "name": "Vanguard FTSE Developed All Cap ex U.S. Index ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.263, "architecture_energy": 35.195, "architecture_maturity": 56.518, "architecture_confidence": 86.601, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.34, "rotation_up": 36.52, "upward_expansion": 63.97, "deceleration": 88.02, "rotation_down": 26.95, "downward_expansion": 16.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 62.66, 62.736477, 61.943149, 60.824544 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 63.869999, "trend_reference": 59.546198, "distance_from_trend": 0.072613, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 46.483393, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.374039, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.656866, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.105028, "excess_performance": -0.015393, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.072613, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052966, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.374039, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005559, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.006569, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013268, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105028, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.695499, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37600, "relative_activity": 0.760595, "balance": 1.695499, "dry_up": 0.980075, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028156, "annualized_volatility": 0.195804, "from_high_reference": -0.010535, "from_low_reference": 0.29997 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.546198, "fair_value_reference": 46.483393, "structural_low": 53.099998, "invalidation": "A 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63.27, "volume": 2500, "typical_volume": 60935.0, "trend": 58.183929, "fair_value": 45.651337, "relative_strength": 2.851108, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.256713, "energy": 78.970038, "activity_lines": [ 63.180415, 62.340517, 60.612083, 59.613432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 63.200001, "volume": 72300, "typical_volume": 61020.0, "trend": 58.515001, "fair_value": 45.821882, "relative_strength": 2.555062, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.533795, "energy": 75.896207, "activity_lines": [ 63.321715, 62.64294, 60.978434, 59.937049 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 61.450001, "volume": 59100, "typical_volume": 59095.0, "trend": 58.773947, "fair_value": 45.98091, "relative_strength": -0.151633, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.181766, "energy": 46.909819, "activity_lines": [ 62.694001, 62.541953, 61.162295, 60.126404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 61.790001, "volume": 54300, "typical_volume": 54700.0, "trend": 59.037659, "fair_value": 46.140203, "relative_strength": 0.144722, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.250839, "energy": 35.259449, "activity_lines": [ 62.259334, 62.487947, 61.372285, 60.320988 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 62.27, "volume": 42800, "typical_volume": 50555.0, "trend": 59.297228, "fair_value": 46.306939, "relative_strength": 1.331669, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.727146, "energy": 28.341496, "activity_lines": [ 62.168667, 62.478824, 61.598807, 60.529526 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.869999, "volume": 37600, "typical_volume": 49435.0, "trend": 59.546198, "fair_value": 46.483393, "relative_strength": 0.656866, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.263129, "energy": 35.194924, "activity_lines": [ 62.66, 62.736477, 61.943149, 60.824544 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }