{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f440cbc8-b0d6-4e95-ad28-bde6ee758e6f", "symbol": "UBER", "name": "Uber Technologies, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 90.387, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.308, "architecture_energy": 33.442, "architecture_maturity": 36.36, "architecture_confidence": 88.458, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.92, "rotation_up": 18.78, "upward_expansion": 8.93, "deceleration": 40.01, "rotation_down": 53.36, "downward_expansion": 75.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 1239.796647, 1253.91108, 1260.378611, 1268.776553 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1282.349976, "trend_reference": 1288.141329, "distance_from_trend": -0.004496, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1349.023653, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.049424, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.172686, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.004387, "excess_performance": 0.05028, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.004496, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074527, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.049424, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042322, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.141727, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115655, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.004387, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.162901, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 84823, "relative_activity": 2.799457, "balance": 1.162901, "dry_up": 2.124758, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059194, "annualized_volatility": 0.332826, "from_high_reference": -0.316076, "from_low_reference": 0.115087 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1288.141329, "fair_value_reference": 1349.023653, "structural_low": 1150.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.040367, "positive_rate": 0.3125, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.022423, "regime_survival": 0.9375, "best_return": 0.431619, "worst_return": -0.236014, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.073222, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.086835, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.221139, "worst_return": -0.324384, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.102103, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.160546, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.047097, "worst_return": -0.493914, 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} ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }