{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f442daf7-db58-427c-8108-0e4394fa6cf6",
    "symbol": "6217",
    "name": "C.C.P. Contact Probes Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -25.524,
    "architecture_energy": 58.897,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.678,
    "architecture_confidence": 62.391,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.73,
        "rotation_up": 14.24,
        "upward_expansion": 27.89,
        "deceleration": 49.4,
        "rotation_down": 66.22,
        "downward_expansion": 52.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        156.033333,
        184.090909,
        217.214286,
        213.489892
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 169.0,
    "trend_reference": 189.563333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.108477,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 69.827603,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 1.420246,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 5.084064,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 1.985866,
    "excess_performance": 1.544494,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.108477,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.371114,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.420246,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -3.010243,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050841,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -1.757042,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.985866,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.975431,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7823344,
      "relative_activity": 0.332034,
      "balance": 0.975431,
      "dry_up": 0.477784,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.294675,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.284415,
      "from_high_reference": -0.544474,
      "from_low_reference": 4.408
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 189.563333,
      "fair_value_reference": 69.827603,
      "structural_low": 61.5,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.040034,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012315,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.078125,
        "worst_return": -0.081272,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.018568,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051737,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.079983,
        "worst_return": -0.036471,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.025489,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.125483,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.054181,
        "worst_return": -0.227059,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.080238,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.249374,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.106972,
        "worst_return": 0.053503,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-23",
        "end": "2024-03-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046171,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.128205,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.086596,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.091946,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.038824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.088913,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.321123,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.414781,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.038622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.211881,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-06-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 3.016807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-19",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.550607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024242,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 11666300.0,
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      },
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      },
      {
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        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 25987322.1,
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        "relative_strength": -24.706483,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -42.622927,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 165.0,
        "volume": 4064010,
        "typical_volume": 24019546.3,
        "trend": 185.623333,
        "fair_value": 69.049203,
        "relative_strength": 7.672804,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.116834,
        "energy": 53.950462,
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          158.066667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 169.0,
        "volume": 7823344,
        "typical_volume": 23561858.35,
        "trend": 189.563333,
        "fair_value": 69.827603,
        "relative_strength": 5.084064,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.523701,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}