{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4478834-4491-4596-b9c8-c99dc8046322", "symbol": "MVNE", "name": "Mivne Real Estate (K.D) Ltd", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-11", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -32.625, "architecture_energy": 15.912, "architecture_maturity": 51.122, "architecture_confidence": 68.544, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.86, "rotation_up": 28.9, "upward_expansion": 19.36, "deceleration": 41.94, "rotation_down": 30.5, "downward_expansion": 58.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 132004.66634, 131044.419173, 132098.31374, 133945.191683 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 132400.0, "trend_reference": 135448.758513, "distance_from_trend": -0.022509, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 111522.641034, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.187203, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.089495, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.04126, "excess_performance": -0.051759, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.022509, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041749, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.187203, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.076166, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.110895, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056476, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.04126, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.071249, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1981765, "relative_activity": 0.288131, "balance": 1.071249, "dry_up": 0.438005, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059091, "annualized_volatility": 0.370744, "from_high_reference": -0.182628, "from_low_reference": 0.161232 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 135448.758513, "fair_value_reference": 111522.641034, "structural_low": 119590.4376, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.017198, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.018481, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.170476, "worst_return": -0.108019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.035322, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.01423, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.188183, "worst_return": -0.089479, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.071319, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.042059, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.238823, "worst_return": 0.002599, 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"trend": 135448.758513, "fair_value": 111522.641034, "relative_strength": -11.089495, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.624505, "energy": 15.911789, "activity_lines": [ 132004.66634, 131044.419173, 132098.31374, 133945.191683 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }