{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f469928a-42f5-49c8-b211-5139363ee606", "symbol": "DT", "name": "Dynatrace Holdings LLC", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.961, "architecture_energy": 47.552, "architecture_maturity": 26.832, "architecture_confidence": 78.377, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.34, "rotation_up": 63.04, "upward_expansion": 80.98, "deceleration": 53.86, "rotation_down": 18.17, "downward_expansion": 5.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.299333, 44.359455, 42.553429, 41.129204 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 48.97, "trend_reference": 39.651, "distance_from_trend": 0.235026, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48.012308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.019947, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.60139, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.452685, "excess_performance": 0.32706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.235026, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008593, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.019947, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.18377, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.016014, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.225429, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.452685, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.448632, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42727019, "relative_activity": 1.513406, "balance": 1.448632, "dry_up": 0.905673, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.087356, "annualized_volatility": 0.441442, "from_high_reference": -0.08098, "from_low_reference": 0.547969 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.651, "fair_value_reference": 48.012308, "structural_low": 31.635, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.022035, "positive_rate": 0.55, "directional_follow_through": 0.55, "median_excess_return": -0.022459, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.180312, "worst_return": -0.209299, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.030189, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028462, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.152564, "worst_return": -0.241297, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.029796, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.090751, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.284384, "worst_return": -0.319769, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.505374, "energy": 59.440447, "activity_lines": [ 43.949333, 43.064545, 41.092952, 40.053914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.62, "volume": 20621122, "typical_volume": 29834070.05, "trend": 39.362333, "fair_value": 48.011667, "relative_strength": -10.54311, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.006485, "energy": 39.331942, "activity_lines": [ 43.312667, 42.945455, 41.277571, 40.193742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.32, "volume": 21590583, "typical_volume": 29344609.9, "trend": 39.428, "fair_value": 47.992821, "relative_strength": -5.11157, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.882542, "energy": 36.890022, "activity_lines": [ 43.562667, 43.258, 41.70819, 40.513591 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 48.97, "volume": 42727019, "typical_volume": 28232360.05, "trend": 39.651, "fair_value": 48.012308, "relative_strength": 1.60139, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.960577, "energy": 47.551703, "activity_lines": [ 45.299333, 44.359455, 42.553429, 41.129204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }