{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f478d990-1196-410a-a341-5469dc5b3d0a", "symbol": "ACR", "name": "Axactor ASA", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.991, "architecture_energy": 74.072, "architecture_maturity": 82.322, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.13, "rotation_up": 28.0, "upward_expansion": 35.92, "deceleration": 23.59, "rotation_down": 41.61, "downward_expansion": 72.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.903333, 4.870818, 5.043024, 5.467946 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 4.97, "trend_reference": 6.147333, "distance_from_trend": -0.191519, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.491442, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.094955, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.760228, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.406921, "excess_performance": -0.531915, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.191519, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119945, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.094955, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.072015, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.357602, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011396, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.406921, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.434774, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5440014, "relative_activity": 1.891838, "balance": 0.434774, "dry_up": 1.212338, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038539, "annualized_volatility": 0.475467, "from_high_reference": -0.483368, "from_low_reference": 0.060832 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.147333, "fair_value_reference": 5.491442, "structural_low": 4.685, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.014252, "positive_rate": 0.459459, "directional_follow_through": 0.540541, "median_excess_return": -0.006301, "regime_survival": 0.810811, "best_return": 0.171734, "worst_return": -0.27234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.107302, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.095648, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.210227, "worst_return": -0.260062, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.141314, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.184642, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.710227, "worst_return": -0.354054, "sufficient": true }, { 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62.033446, "activity_lines": [ 4.824667, 4.863727, 5.323881, 5.848978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.885, "volume": 1666540, "typical_volume": 2515220.45, "trend": 6.422833, "fair_value": 5.503846, "relative_strength": -37.577374, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.637604, "energy": 58.546627, "activity_lines": [ 4.851333, 4.852273, 5.235786, 5.744398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.9, "volume": 3119170, "typical_volume": 2531968.45, "trend": 6.3395, "fair_value": 5.499551, "relative_strength": -38.047827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.945898, "energy": 51.912412, "activity_lines": [ 4.877333, 4.853091, 5.16081, 5.646151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.845, "volume": 3718670, "typical_volume": 2665787.3, "trend": 6.237667, "fair_value": 5.494904, "relative_strength": -38.07582, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.63217, "energy": 70.791435, "activity_lines": [ 4.871667, 4.848091, 5.090881, 5.549731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.97, "volume": 5440014, "typical_volume": 2875517.35, "trend": 6.147333, "fair_value": 5.491442, "relative_strength": -35.760228, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.991025, "energy": 74.071637, "activity_lines": [ 4.903333, 4.870818, 5.043024, 5.467946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }