{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f485ac9f-4e72-4136-95c6-835967d67dd7", "symbol": "SECURKLOUD", "name": "SecureKloud Technologies Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.429, "architecture_energy": 42.221, "architecture_maturity": 30.352, "architecture_confidence": 94.139, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.2, "rotation_up": 22.22, "upward_expansion": 5.51, "deceleration": 52.71, "rotation_down": 52.54, "downward_expansion": 78.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.463333, 18.592182, 19.689238, 20.32458 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 19.42, "trend_reference": 21.098333, "distance_from_trend": -0.079548, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 31.748461, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.388317, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.39259, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.107537, "excess_performance": -0.063828, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.079548, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077642, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.388317, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073097, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.113926, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.128072, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.107537, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.651407, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100672, "relative_activity": 1.02235, "balance": 0.651407, "dry_up": 0.767258, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094946, "annualized_volatility": 0.545224, "from_high_reference": -0.431831, "from_low_reference": 0.212992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.098333, "fair_value_reference": 31.748461, "structural_low": 16.709999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.060734, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.050221, "regime_survival": 0.848485, "best_return": 0.742142, "worst_return": -0.305339, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.09177, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.147726, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.14911, "worst_return": -0.354147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.179237, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.213784, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.121696, "worst_return": -0.42829, "sufficient": true 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{ "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-31", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.168474, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.198187, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.225847, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.180684, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.070823, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": 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-69.261944, "energy": 67.592038, "activity_lines": [ 18.606, 19.174, 20.414952, 20.945699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.469999, "volume": 90313, "typical_volume": 116921.45, "trend": 21.541, "fair_value": 32.071602, "relative_strength": -18.389952, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.153701, "energy": 72.570962, "activity_lines": [ 18.170666, 18.750182, 20.076143, 20.668215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.07, "volume": 56026, "typical_volume": 105628.25, "trend": 21.275333, "fair_value": 31.903782, "relative_strength": -17.224746, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.812827, "energy": 64.080072, "activity_lines": [ 18.060666, 18.518727, 19.811238, 20.444279 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.42, "volume": 100672, "typical_volume": 98471.15, "trend": 21.098333, "fair_value": 31.748461, "relative_strength": -11.39259, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.429063, "energy": 42.221278, "activity_lines": [ 18.463333, 18.592182, 19.689238, 20.32458 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }