{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4b4125c-e66f-41e9-a6a2-304d48538205", "symbol": "PRX", "name": "Prosus N.V.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -11.296, "architecture_energy": 9.866, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 36.693, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.91, "rotation_up": 31.28, "upward_expansion": 19.52, "deceleration": 43.92, "rotation_down": 21.24, "downward_expansion": 55.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.875333, 39.170454, 39.416928, 40.149785 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 42.169998, "trend_reference": 41.803667, "distance_from_trend": 0.008763, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.426198, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.069593, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.384255, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.083161, "excess_performance": -0.257408, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008763, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11265, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.069593, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.004539, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.293843, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006192, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.083161, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.002858, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 2.002858, "dry_up": 0.7245, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057916, "annualized_volatility": 0.397701, "from_high_reference": -0.337366, "from_low_reference": 0.15661 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 41.803667, "fair_value_reference": 39.426198, "structural_low": 36.459999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.034158, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.035414, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.276834, "worst_return": -0.128738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.035425, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.116037, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.435699, "worst_return": -0.168136, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.076901, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.165671, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.208207, "worst_return": -0.083161, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.713751, "energy": 44.506678, "activity_lines": [ 38.422333, 38.656454, 39.530238, 40.733247 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 36.84, "volume": 180, "typical_volume": 465.75, "trend": 42.657, "fair_value": 39.297989, "relative_strength": -37.627617, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.320604, "energy": 46.454407, "activity_lines": [ 37.944666, 38.288818, 39.197047, 40.324086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.970001, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 438.7, "trend": 42.184667, "fair_value": 39.351062, "relative_strength": -31.679858, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.667554, "energy": 24.734346, "activity_lines": [ 38.626333, 38.537636, 39.185928, 40.150731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.169998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 419.6, "trend": 41.803667, "fair_value": 39.426198, "relative_strength": -29.384255, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.296368, "energy": 9.866134, "activity_lines": [ 39.875333, 39.170454, 39.416928, 40.149785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }