{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4b53aed-e80d-4931-9f75-db02bfad1dbe", "symbol": "DKS", "name": "Dick\u2019s Sporting Goods Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3c", "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch", "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch", "confidence": 65.996, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -14.775, "architecture_energy": 26.51, "architecture_maturity": 30.768, "architecture_confidence": 45.832, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.86, "rotation_up": 17.12, "upward_expansion": 18.06, "deceleration": 60.84, "rotation_down": 56.53, "downward_expansion": 38.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 206.577333, 214.934031, 218.558492, 215.423309 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 208.84, "trend_reference": 211.471564, "distance_from_trend": -0.012444, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 190.541314, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.096035, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.612601, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.014968, "excess_performance": -0.110657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012444, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013711, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.096035, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.134056, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.126126, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099453, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.014968, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.623699, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7598775, "relative_activity": 1.340906, "balance": 0.623699, "dry_up": 1.09314, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083971, "annualized_volatility": 0.309627, "from_high_reference": -0.145429, "from_low_reference": 0.132521 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 211.471564, "fair_value_reference": 190.541314, "structural_low": 184.402789, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.03567, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010704, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.117089, "worst_return": -0.076358, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.106018, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.078892, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.061673, "worst_return": -0.173116, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.033975, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.110179, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.045581, "worst_return": -0.201129, "sufficient": false 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"trend": 211.691646, "fair_value": 189.650845, "relative_strength": -10.467453, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.906925, "energy": 13.346097, "activity_lines": [ 217.674, 222.198263, 221.174961, 216.621418 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 195.91, "volume": 6491718, "typical_volume": 5558792.15, "trend": 211.629039, "fair_value": 190.041899, "relative_strength": -15.446533, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.960018, "energy": 30.23432, "activity_lines": [ 208.528667, 217.081334, 219.265498, 215.603247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 208.84, "volume": 7598775, "typical_volume": 5666896.0, "trend": 211.471564, "fair_value": 190.541314, "relative_strength": -12.612601, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -14.775201, "energy": 26.509559, "activity_lines": [ 206.577333, 214.934031, 218.558492, 215.423309 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }