{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4b7441d-ec78-4766-bd77-8432e49ac0ba", "symbol": "605566", "name": "Hangzhou Flariant Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.436, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -29.33, "architecture_energy": 63.351, "architecture_maturity": 19.662, "architecture_confidence": 76.364, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.19, "rotation_up": 14.11, "upward_expansion": 28.75, "deceleration": 49.29, "rotation_down": 73.9, "downward_expansion": 58.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.982972, 28.554578, 32.325238, 32.282942 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 25.809999, "trend_reference": 32.092761, "distance_from_trend": -0.195769, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.492848, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.147476, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.344637, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.197201, "excess_performance": -0.153997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.195769, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032475, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.147476, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.466723, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.143446, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.328655, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.197201, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.765481, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19800857, "relative_activity": 0.949292, "balance": 2.765481, "dry_up": 1.027592, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.238901, "annualized_volatility": 0.681808, "from_high_reference": -0.508353, "from_low_reference": 0.285999 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.092761, "fair_value_reference": 22.492848, "structural_low": 20.07, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.186789, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.144329, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.186789, "worst_return": 0.186789, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.43765, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.408639, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.43765, "worst_return": 0.43765, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"fair_value": 22.496132, "relative_strength": -25.695654, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.483934, "energy": 49.16077, "activity_lines": [ 26.132421, 32.55359, 34.058932, 33.360137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.379999, "volume": 22299005, "typical_volume": 20455690.0, "trend": 32.282094, "fair_value": 22.485205, "relative_strength": -23.657837, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.833118, "energy": 66.001073, "activity_lines": [ 23.926164, 30.112993, 33.017442, 32.700497 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.809999, "volume": 19800857, "typical_volume": 20858544.2, "trend": 32.092761, "fair_value": 22.492848, "relative_strength": -14.344637, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.329781, "energy": 63.350535, "activity_lines": [ 23.982972, 28.554578, 32.325238, 32.282942 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }