{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4ce00a4-6a71-4784-a831-884f52f8c1f1", "symbol": "WAB", "name": "Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 70.417, "architecture_energy": 82.541, "architecture_maturity": 45.067, "architecture_confidence": 80.293, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.02, "rotation_up": 73.98, "upward_expansion": 90.37, "deceleration": 47.92, "rotation_down": 8.97, "downward_expansion": 19.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 251.660002, 244.454546, 237.007596, 231.48972 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 254.5, "trend_reference": 223.572311, "distance_from_trend": 0.138334, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 166.16676, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.531594, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.671028, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.227027, "excess_performance": 0.05278, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138334, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094989, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.531594, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.072306, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.03671, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011579, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.227027, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.244186, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120, "relative_activity": 2.187785, "balance": 3.244186, "dry_up": 4.990884, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042368, "annualized_volatility": 0.267459, "from_high_reference": -0.060886, "from_low_reference": 0.626326 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 223.572311, "fair_value_reference": 166.16676, "structural_low": 202.019275, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": 0.022243, "positive_rate": 0.631579, "directional_follow_through": 0.631579, "median_excess_return": 0.012535, "regime_survival": 0.710526, "best_return": 0.107003, "worst_return": -0.127507, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.035832, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.019125, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.229545, "worst_return": -0.08852, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.105363, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.060061, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.307522, "worst_return": -0.006087, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -3.521745, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.451649, "energy": 54.049175, "activity_lines": [ 232.41333, 230.630082, 227.397368, 222.95619 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 231.199997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 0.4, "trend": 216.535849, "fair_value": 163.203897, "relative_strength": -0.93833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.360715, "energy": 41.663014, "activity_lines": [ 231.906663, 231.036069, 228.126702, 224.007032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 264.700012, "volume": 717, "typical_volume": 36.25, "trend": 219.15677, "fair_value": 164.224247, "relative_strength": 11.525121, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.013614, "energy": 68.064774, "activity_lines": [ 242.320001, 237.427273, 231.99458, 227.114398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 254.0, "volume": 258, "typical_volume": 48.85, "trend": 221.525727, "fair_value": 165.192706, "relative_strength": 6.803489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.869008, "energy": 76.375449, "activity_lines": [ 247.426668, 241.196364, 234.586776, 229.362348 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 254.5, "volume": 120, "typical_volume": 54.85, "trend": 223.572311, "fair_value": 166.16676, "relative_strength": 3.671028, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.416863, "energy": 82.54138, "activity_lines": [ 251.660002, 244.454546, 237.007596, 231.48972 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }