{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4e9b549-cfdd-4137-880c-15ad82beed6d", "symbol": "HYSRI", "name": "BNP Paribas Easy \u20ac High Yield SRI Fossil Free UCITS ETF EUR Acc", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 91.051, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.295, "architecture_energy": 24.877, "architecture_maturity": 45.632, "architecture_confidence": 81.52, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.55, "rotation_up": 32.53, "upward_expansion": 60.18, "deceleration": 84.85, "rotation_down": 30.53, "downward_expansion": 21.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.2952, 11.305382, 11.286038, 11.257028 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.336, "trend_reference": 11.237533, "distance_from_trend": 0.008762, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 11.063975, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.024587, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.386925, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.004252, "excess_performance": -0.049059, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008762, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003949, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.024587, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003819, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053869, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051887, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.004252, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.1888, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34571, "relative_activity": 3.394789, "balance": 6.1888, "dry_up": 1.595588, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.005564, "annualized_volatility": 0.043161, "from_high_reference": -0.004391, "from_low_reference": 0.036197 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.237533, "fair_value_reference": 11.063975, "structural_low": 10.94, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 10.772, "volume": 5004, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 10.768, "volume": 3093, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 10.774, "volume": 708, 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"2026-06-12", "close": 11.306, "volume": 625, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 11.3, "volume": 8, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 11.306, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 11.368, "volume": 507, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.344, "volume": 1812, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 11.312, "volume": 932, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.244, "volume": 3931, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.262, "volume": 25561, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.336, "volume": 34571, "typical_volume": 10183.55, "trend": 11.237533, "fair_value": 11.063975, "relative_strength": -5.386925, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.295167, "energy": 24.877399, "activity_lines": [ 11.2952, 11.305382, 11.286038, 11.257028 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }