{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4eac8c0-2d79-4d2e-87b4-a5f0e9b7f13d", "symbol": "UMBF", "name": "UMB Financial Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.328, "architecture_energy": 51.792, "architecture_maturity": 54.963, "architecture_confidence": 85.155, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.53, "rotation_up": 57.9, "upward_expansion": 83.6, "deceleration": 62.87, "rotation_down": 23.67, "downward_expansion": 7.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 144.739333, 143.358146, 137.858629, 132.994243 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 145.6, "trend_reference": 128.229903, "distance_from_trend": 0.135461, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 101.045454, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.440936, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.206856, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.09166, "excess_performance": -0.095794, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.135461, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076543, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.440936, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056739, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.042069, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088119, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.09166, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.442154, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2459797, "relative_activity": 0.757856, "balance": 1.442154, "dry_up": 0.956826, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.055437, "annualized_volatility": 0.273982, "from_high_reference": -0.029333, "from_low_reference": 0.423527 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 128.229903, "fair_value_reference": 101.045454, "structural_low": 106.772076, 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"fair_value": 98.491564, "relative_strength": 5.115665, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.976957, "energy": 79.2508, "activity_lines": [ 139.870535, 135.854076, 129.581606, 126.852125 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 144.59, "volume": 3404886, "typical_volume": 3225244.15, "trend": 124.69662, "fair_value": 99.037103, "relative_strength": 3.786772, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.142291, "energy": 80.472673, "activity_lines": [ 142.291333, 137.920362, 131.481612, 128.194175 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 145.99, "volume": 2605417, "typical_volume": 3217925.7, "trend": 125.625854, "fair_value": 99.563922, "relative_strength": 9.160211, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.549777, "energy": 83.171964, "activity_lines": [ 144.172667, 139.954471, 133.426226, 129.567941 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 141.2, "volume": 3134787, "typical_volume": 3218697.0, "trend": 126.397075, "fair_value": 100.038014, "relative_strength": 7.104872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.551233, "energy": 63.57714, "activity_lines": [ 143.749333, 140.843913, 134.767385, 130.572725 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 145.73, "volume": 4222392, "typical_volume": 3289319.35, "trend": 127.399396, "fair_value": 100.534678, "relative_strength": 9.73833, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.986907, "energy": 54.979561, "activity_lines": [ 144.293333, 142.248722, 136.404218, 131.82001 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 145.6, "volume": 2459797, "typical_volume": 3245730.1, "trend": 128.229903, "fair_value": 101.045454, "relative_strength": 4.206856, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.327661, "energy": 51.791657, "activity_lines": [ 144.739333, 143.358146, 137.858629, 132.994243 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }