{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4f61f76-f589-4186-b8cf-9ec9cd141ef2", "symbol": "PTP", "name": "Pentixapharm Holding AG N", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 69.392, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -20.844, "architecture_energy": 33.381, "architecture_maturity": 13.834, "architecture_confidence": 65.895, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.98, "rotation_up": 17.64, "upward_expansion": 20.85, "deceleration": 53.37, "rotation_down": 62.03, "downward_expansion": 45.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.967667, 2.060727, 2.123986, 2.109684 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 1.935, "trend_reference": 2.0872, "distance_from_trend": -0.072921, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.397959, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.193064, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.646979, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.015215, "excess_performance": -0.049425, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.072921, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103307, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.193064, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080444, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05647, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165572, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015215, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.20434, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 252219, "relative_activity": 3.976079, "balance": 1.20434, "dry_up": 3.165155, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131982, "annualized_volatility": 0.641876, "from_high_reference": -0.477027, "from_low_reference": 0.488462 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.0872, "fair_value_reference": 2.397959, "structural_low": 1.762, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.096411, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.076543, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.104859, "worst_return": 0.087963, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.11509, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.062025, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.11509, "worst_return": 0.11509, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"typical_volume": 40165.9, "trend": 2.074533, "fair_value": 2.408021, "relative_strength": 3.369989, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.242849, "energy": 14.573273, "activity_lines": [ 2.091333, 2.163364, 2.161038, 2.130409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.905, "volume": 276697, "typical_volume": 52611.4, "trend": 2.0867, "fair_value": 2.402781, "relative_strength": -4.761497, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -23.220197, "energy": 24.401011, "activity_lines": [ 2.014, 2.107091, 2.140905, 2.119471 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.935, "volume": 252219, "typical_volume": 63434.1, "trend": 2.0872, "fair_value": 2.397959, "relative_strength": -5.646979, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.843937, "energy": 33.381302, "activity_lines": [ 1.967667, 2.060727, 2.123986, 2.109684 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }