{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f4f6fb67-5ff5-4152-99bc-f1173211189a", "symbol": "J", "name": "Jacobs Solutions Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 57.405, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 54.544, "architecture_energy": 64.813, "architecture_maturity": 13.837, "architecture_confidence": 63.728, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.99, "rotation_up": 76.71, "upward_expansion": 64.81, "deceleration": 18.33, "rotation_down": 16.73, "downward_expansion": 20.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 137.205333, 132.735455, 127.932411, 127.785815 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 145.07, "trend_reference": 129.185386, "distance_from_trend": 0.12296, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 124.648411, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.163834, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.032991, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.01952, "excess_performance": -0.145145, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.12296, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021805, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.163834, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.197384, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.05033, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184586, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.01952, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.296214, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5353795, "relative_activity": 0.98865, "balance": 2.296214, "dry_up": 0.821008, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064326, "annualized_volatility": 0.328362, "from_high_reference": -0.131732, "from_low_reference": 0.377038 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 129.185386, "fair_value_reference": 124.648411, "structural_low": 105.349319, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.046591, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.037027, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.08906, "worst_return": -0.039919, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.088422, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.052333, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.174047, "worst_return": -0.120104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.037607, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.035021, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.057703, "worst_return": -0.212717, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"activity_lines": [ 130.584, 127.677636, 125.048548, 126.364151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 134.93, "volume": 4958421, "typical_volume": 5503813.55, "trend": 128.988016, "fair_value": 124.416804, "relative_strength": -8.969018, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.968758, "energy": 40.805197, "activity_lines": [ 132.512667, 129.468727, 126.024934, 126.748268 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 145.07, "volume": 5353795, "typical_volume": 5415260.35, "trend": 129.185386, "fair_value": 124.648411, "relative_strength": -5.032991, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 54.54425, "energy": 64.812762, "activity_lines": [ 137.205333, 132.735455, 127.932411, 127.785815 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }