{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f51e32dd-6f74-4341-9d41-d73445c48430", "symbol": "005800", "name": "Shinyoungwacoal,Inc.", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-09-11", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.531, "architecture_energy": 11.825, "architecture_maturity": 23.424, "architecture_confidence": 68.959, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.06, "rotation_up": 25.26, "upward_expansion": 23.84, "deceleration": 51.61, "rotation_down": 19.72, "downward_expansion": 45.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 13542.0, 13481.636364, 13336.47619, 13686.55914 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 13580.0, "trend_reference": 14359.333333, "distance_from_trend": -0.054274, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11457.687538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.18523, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.969933, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.176471, "excess_performance": -0.435739, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.054274, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060199, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.18523, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019549, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.289699, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218259, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.176471, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.865163, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9900, "relative_activity": 0.614277, "balance": 1.865163, "dry_up": 0.86019, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.049564, "annualized_volatility": 0.234393, "from_high_reference": -0.388507, "from_low_reference": 0.172712 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14359.333333, "fair_value_reference": 11457.687538, "structural_low": 11580.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.004608, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.014048, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 0.270695, "worst_return": -0.059322, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.00887, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.031418, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.171322, "worst_return": -0.130395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.000654, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.010059, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.14126, "worst_return": -0.138307, 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0.227573, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.062084, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.063114, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.125926, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-05", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03174, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.149007, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", 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"direction": -30.149589, "energy": 18.781921, "activity_lines": [ 13502.0, 13323.090909, 13351.857143, 13812.043011 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-04", "close": 13550.0, "volume": 15310, "typical_volume": 17078.0, "trend": 14485.0, "fair_value": 11426.850498, "relative_strength": -27.872768, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.09374, "energy": 13.874909, "activity_lines": [ 13516.0, 13415.636364, 13338.809524, 13744.946237 ] }, { "date": "2026-09-11", "close": 13580.0, "volume": 9900, "typical_volume": 16116.5, "trend": 14359.333333, "fair_value": 11457.687538, "relative_strength": -28.969933, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.530616, "energy": 11.824629, "activity_lines": [ 13542.0, 13481.636364, 13336.47619, 13686.55914 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }