{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f51f32e0-ffe2-45c8-8453-de6c58730566", "symbol": "ALBPS", "name": "Biophytis S.A.", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -6.842, "architecture_energy": 9.37, "architecture_maturity": 40.14, "architecture_confidence": 39.268, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 53.97, "rotation_up": 29.49, "upward_expansion": 20.6, "deceleration": 44.17, "rotation_down": 21.38, "downward_expansion": 56.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.01848, 0.016942, 0.017463, 0.020937 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.0318, "trend_reference": 0.028863, "distance_from_trend": 0.101744, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.822483, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.961337, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -56.351113, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.452668, "excess_performance": -0.505979, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101744, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.413267, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.961337, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024433, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.563511, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230688, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.452668, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.554148, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 354990575, "relative_activity": 11.003883, "balance": 3.554148, "dry_up": 3.073786, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.209724, "annualized_volatility": 2.66597, "from_high_reference": -0.846747, "from_low_reference": 6.571429 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.028863, "fair_value_reference": 0.822483, "structural_low": 0.0042, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2021-07-09", "end": "2023-03-03", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.937578, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-03-10", "end": "2023-04-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.505, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-05-05", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.985166, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.284916, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.937143, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 5.76, "volume": 114178, "typical_volume": 94509.2, "trend": 12.332, "fair_value": 171.305897, "relative_strength": -68.515626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.204717, "energy": 64.19163, "activity_lines": [ 5.992, 6.730182, 7.839048, 9.780129 ] }, { "date": "2023-08-25", "close": 5.6, "volume": 67105, "typical_volume": 97215.7, "trend": 12.016, "fair_value": 169.744359, "relative_strength": -68.4583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.437754, "energy": 62.868167, "activity_lines": [ 5.709333, 6.421091, 7.482095, 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"activity_lines": [ 0.0153, 0.016049, 0.017777, 0.023624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.0153, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 15431620.1, "trend": 0.031787, "fair_value": 0.892493, "relative_strength": -80.168905, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.648108, "energy": 63.350623, "activity_lines": [ 0.0153, 0.015733, 0.017293, 0.022441 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0066, "volume": 41656734, "typical_volume": 15293973.35, "trend": 0.02993, "fair_value": 0.857151, "relative_strength": -91.118943, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -93.686076, "energy": 94.492282, "activity_lines": [ 0.0124, 0.013935, 0.016117, 0.020816 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0318, "volume": 354990575, "typical_volume": 32260482.25, "trend": 0.028863, "fair_value": 0.822483, "relative_strength": -56.351113, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.842092, "energy": 9.369775, "activity_lines": [ 0.01848, 0.016942, 0.017463, 0.020937 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }