{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f53bba6f-5a3e-4c8e-ace9-d478a9fae352", "symbol": "CBAN", "name": "Colony Bankcorp Inc.", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.128, "architecture_energy": 73.475, "architecture_maturity": 23.548, "architecture_confidence": 80.442, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.22, "rotation_up": 73.35, "upward_expansion": 89.15, "deceleration": 44.88, "rotation_down": 9.62, "downward_expansion": 15.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.6106, 21.154461, 20.700388, 20.448209 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 22.01, "trend_reference": 20.112375, "distance_from_trend": 0.094351, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.958867, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.471368, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.922358, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.057104, "excess_performance": -0.068521, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.094351, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.064438, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.471368, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.052683, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.049224, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040216, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.057104, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.763243, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 926678, "relative_activity": 0.655378, "balance": 2.763243, "dry_up": 0.911722, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045659, "annualized_volatility": 0.192679, "from_high_reference": -0.016533, "from_low_reference": 0.419653 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.112375, "fair_value_reference": 14.958867, "structural_low": 18.835383, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.014925, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.006263, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.20362, "worst_return": -0.15544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.040539, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": -0.00752, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.14333, "worst_return": -0.090908, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.108373, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.042161, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.198402, "worst_return": 0.002132, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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4.318499, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.022971, "energy": 27.661054, "activity_lines": [ 20.436206, 20.405809, 20.21739, 20.059786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 21.722211, "volume": 1244293, "typical_volume": 1410720.85, "trend": 19.833191, "fair_value": 14.805007, "relative_strength": 8.937721, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.853226, "energy": 40.326041, "activity_lines": [ 20.864324, 20.674952, 20.377634, 20.190014 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.80178, "volume": 1279944, "typical_volume": 1438647.6, "trend": 19.976559, "fair_value": 14.879859, "relative_strength": 7.857683, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.882468, "energy": 61.530409, "activity_lines": [ 21.241485, 20.913975, 20.535259, 20.317019 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.01, "volume": 926678, "typical_volume": 1413959.05, "trend": 20.112375, "fair_value": 14.958867, "relative_strength": 4.922358, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.128202, "energy": 73.47505, "activity_lines": [ 21.6106, 21.154461, 20.700388, 20.448209 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }