{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f53d888a-f8ac-40d1-98f9-9e8410576ff4", "symbol": "000980", "name": "Zotye Automobile Co., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.564, "architecture_energy": 78.571, "architecture_maturity": 60.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.882, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 11.56, "upward_expansion": 18.47, "deceleration": 38.9, "rotation_down": 72.74, "downward_expansion": 91.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.662, 1.783636, 2.037, 2.195097 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 1.72, "trend_reference": 2.470667, "distance_from_trend": -0.303832, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.575962, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.332288, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -42.255262, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.467492, "excess_performance": -0.474892, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.303832, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192856, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.332288, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.330567, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.422553, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.18222, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.467492, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.986505, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 643067421, "relative_activity": 0.944395, "balance": 0.986505, "dry_up": 1.092864, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.152952, "annualized_volatility": 0.568337, "from_high_reference": -0.605505, "from_low_reference": 0.228571 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.470667, "fair_value_reference": 2.575962, "structural_low": 1.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.047619, "positive_rate": 0.344828, "directional_follow_through": 0.655172, "median_excess_return": -0.065237, "regime_survival": 0.862069, "best_return": 0.674603, "worst_return": -0.292793, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.113946, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.167722, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.864322, "worst_return": -0.385542, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.048193, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.068934, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.766667, "worst_return": -0.468992, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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76.970623, "activity_lines": [ 2.111333, 2.291818, 2.352238, 2.522753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.78, "volume": 703266984, "typical_volume": 639768967.35, "trend": 2.753, "fair_value": 2.619295, "relative_strength": -44.492866, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.67285, "energy": 83.015208, "activity_lines": [ 1.974, 2.178, 2.288095, 2.455677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.57, "volume": 945481785, "typical_volume": 665040460.55, "trend": 2.677, "fair_value": 2.61359, "relative_strength": -45.897751, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -85.345669, "energy": 88.567976, "activity_lines": [ 1.817333, 2.039455, 2.209905, 2.379355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.51, "volume": 693702807, "typical_volume": 672500459.85, "trend": 2.598, "fair_value": 2.601987, "relative_strength": -47.877194, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.536715, "energy": 91.779298, "activity_lines": [ 1.680667, 1.909455, 2.13319, 2.304065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.72, "volume": 694405458, "typical_volume": 683901351.0, "trend": 2.531, "fair_value": 2.591987, "relative_strength": -39.482402, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.448249, "energy": 85.749949, "activity_lines": [ 1.661333, 1.838727, 2.08281, 2.247419 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.72, "volume": 643067421, "typical_volume": 680930523.05, "trend": 2.470667, "fair_value": 2.575962, "relative_strength": -42.255262, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.563588, "energy": 78.571387, "activity_lines": [ 1.662, 1.783636, 2.037, 2.195097 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }