{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f53da522-ff48-47ec-87ff-d09d6b36590a",
    "symbol": "INDIACEM",
    "name": "The India Cements Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 52.738,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 1.404,
    "architecture_energy": 14.914,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.763,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.729,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 70.93,
        "rotation_up": 36.87,
        "upward_expansion": 37.94,
        "deceleration": 44.52,
        "rotation_down": 20.65,
        "downward_expansion": 36.6
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        399.763328,
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        393.360475,
        393.08301
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 398.149994,
    "trend_reference": 400.325,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.005433,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 326.279359,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220273,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 0.0228,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.120402,
    "excess_performance": -0.076693,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005433,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022588,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.220273,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.091915,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000228,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089993,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.120402,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.591548,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 799699,
      "relative_activity": 0.309974,
      "balance": 0.591548,
      "dry_up": 0.775419,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.051672,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.281759,
      "from_high_reference": -0.180424,
      "from_low_reference": 0.162991
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 400.325,
      "fair_value_reference": 326.279359,
      "structural_low": 342.350006,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.046125,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031283,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.032053,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.121917,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.150356,
        "worst_return": -0.022269,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.154627,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.105514,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.347689,
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        "worst_return": 0.324692,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": 0.077608,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 3862581,
        "typical_volume": 2583930.4,
        "trend": 404.19,
        "fair_value": 324.249872,
        "relative_strength": 6.095506,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 9.843797,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 395.899994,
        "volume": 913698,
        "typical_volume": 2580247.0,
        "trend": 402.54,
        "fair_value": 325.346987,
        "relative_strength": 0.415185,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.074602,
        "energy": 14.503807,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 398.149994,
        "volume": 799699,
        "typical_volume": 2579888.1,
        "trend": 400.325,
        "fair_value": 326.279359,
        "relative_strength": 0.0228,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 1.403878,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}