{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f5714d0a-2886-4fdd-a84c-02ac7c77b915", "symbol": "WFC", "name": "Wells Fargo & Company", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 59.387, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.419, "architecture_energy": 52.783, "architecture_maturity": 17.97, "architecture_confidence": 69.606, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.01, "rotation_up": 60.27, "upward_expansion": 79.29, "deceleration": 61.05, "rotation_down": 16.45, "downward_expansion": 8.29 }, "activity_lines": [ 75.347727, 74.93945, 72.444146, 71.470563 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 75.050003, "trend_reference": 71.159344, "distance_from_trend": 0.054675, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 59.480013, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.261768, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -14.802728, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.047751, "excess_performance": -0.221997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.054675, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008346, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.261768, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.108176, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.148027, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.065836, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.047751, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.0, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 5.0, "dry_up": 1.961031, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.033997, "annualized_volatility": 0.265827, "from_high_reference": -0.083798, "from_low_reference": 0.198882 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 71.159344, "fair_value_reference": 59.480013, "structural_low": 62.599998, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.000534, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.016983, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.212015, "worst_return": -0.19405, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.020507, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.061444, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.237881, "worst_return": -0.16439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.032967, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.018951, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.247088, "worst_return": -0.103313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.001403, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.074793, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.044299, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025515, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.033196, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": 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"Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 39.705721, "energy": 71.656193, "activity_lines": [ 75.81914, 74.277618, 71.577158, 71.043422 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 74.454385, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 79.55, "trend": 71.367079, "fair_value": 59.236513, "relative_strength": -13.25865, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.90409, "energy": 55.106403, "activity_lines": [ 75.48831, 74.633063, 72.003324, 71.232955 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.050003, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 79.55, "trend": 71.159344, "fair_value": 59.480013, "relative_strength": -14.802728, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.418915, "energy": 52.782723, "activity_lines": [ 75.347727, 74.93945, 72.444146, 71.470563 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }