{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f57d3895-73c8-47e3-902a-652c69b14a42", "symbol": "4147", "name": "TaiMed Biologics Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.995, "architecture_energy": 23.925, "architecture_maturity": 56.052, "architecture_confidence": 74.71, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.84, "rotation_up": 30.04, "upward_expansion": 56.65, "deceleration": 87.93, "rotation_down": 31.37, "downward_expansion": 20.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.353332, 60.76909, 58.347142, 56.853656 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 64.199997, "trend_reference": 55.748333, "distance_from_trend": 0.151604, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 78.672964, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.183964, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.58438, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.177982, "excess_performance": -0.26339, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.151604, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022159, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.183964, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.194616, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.285844, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.232253, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.177982, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.268553, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10901689, "relative_activity": 1.431275, "balance": 1.268553, "dry_up": 0.771828, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11161, "annualized_volatility": 0.491202, "from_high_reference": -0.224638, "from_low_reference": 0.365957 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.748333, "fair_value_reference": 78.672964, "structural_low": 47.0, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.034553, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.045323, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.242105, "worst_return": -0.251695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.084665, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.035903, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.85633, "worst_return": -0.120598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.091266, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.012745, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.351351, "worst_return": -0.155859, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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{ "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 55.0, "volume": 4725614, "typical_volume": 7813882.7, "trend": 55.778333, "fair_value": 79.112067, "relative_strength": -37.514545, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.435328, "energy": 22.845829, "activity_lines": [ 59.873333, 60.442727, 57.431667, 56.236451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.799999, "volume": 2668522, "typical_volume": 7711009.85, "trend": 55.655, "fair_value": 78.8704, "relative_strength": -35.734907, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.214316, "energy": 23.177573, "activity_lines": [ 57.94, 60.001818, 57.556666, 56.302365 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 64.199997, "volume": 10901689, "typical_volume": 7616765.7, "trend": 55.748333, "fair_value": 78.672964, "relative_strength": -28.58438, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.995303, "energy": 23.925261, "activity_lines": [ 59.353332, 60.76909, 58.347142, 56.853656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }