{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f585907f-e583-4c83-8f6c-f4508f6a9526", "symbol": "GLSI", "name": "Greenwich Lifesciences\u00a0Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.183, "architecture_energy": 77.981, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 85.289, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.02, "rotation_up": 8.97, "upward_expansion": 18.23, "deceleration": 37.1, "rotation_down": 77.21, "downward_expansion": 93.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.478667, 16.939818, 20.114333, 21.579183 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.36, "trend_reference": 23.3635, "distance_from_trend": -0.385366, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.284791, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005265, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.682596, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.504828, "excess_performance": -0.692281, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.385366, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.087636, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005265, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.70052, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.316826, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.528112, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.504828, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.548364, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 531937, "relative_activity": 0.747816, "balance": 0.548364, "dry_up": 1.189125, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.316818, "annualized_volatility": 0.828849, "from_high_reference": -0.578886, "from_low_reference": 0.845758 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.3635, "fair_value_reference": 14.284791, "structural_low": 12.51, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.001182, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.002918, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 1.369416, "worst_return": -0.390746, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.010789, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.067327, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 2.175258, "worst_return": -0.539332, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.078078, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.262635, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.998282, "worst_return": -0.532134, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.019289, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.257609, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.012624, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.128272, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.115092, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.490263, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.116268, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.021129, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.266517, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.106317, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 9.56, "volume": 62579, "typical_volume": 150033.4, "trend": 12.2565, "fair_value": 21.182833, "relative_strength": -32.289667, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established 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"modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -35.170451, "energy": 46.124246, "activity_lines": [ 21.148, 22.52, 23.556238, 24.079204 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.32, "volume": 784500, "typical_volume": 734884.5, "trend": 24.183333, "fair_value": 14.215112, "relative_strength": -19.447326, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.428514, "energy": 67.233183, "activity_lines": [ 19.318667, 21.211182, 22.808548, 23.579011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.98, "volume": 1466385, "typical_volume": 768749.8, "trend": 23.9265, "fair_value": 14.241586, "relative_strength": -34.827691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.63406, "energy": 76.539498, "activity_lines": [ 16.892, 19.414, 21.797048, 22.856215 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.5, "volume": 600574, "typical_volume": 758714.9, "trend": 23.7275, "fair_value": 14.260432, "relative_strength": -32.566122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.55531, "energy": 79.722043, "activity_lines": [ 15.332, 17.970091, 20.883214, 22.183538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.36, "volume": 531937, "typical_volume": 711320.45, "trend": 23.3635, "fair_value": 14.284791, "relative_strength": -31.682596, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.182856, "energy": 77.980985, "activity_lines": [ 14.478667, 16.939818, 20.114333, 21.579183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }