{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f5883984-881e-4db2-80e4-303d43e95f53", "symbol": "MEDPLUS", "name": "MedPlus Health Services Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -79.721, "architecture_energy": 87.025, "architecture_maturity": 15.105, "architecture_confidence": 80.542, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.82, "rotation_up": 8.23, "upward_expansion": 19.91, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 85.0, "downward_expansion": 97.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 727.413326, 768.766358, 816.035951, 828.820216 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 700.25, "trend_reference": 837.431671, "distance_from_trend": -0.163812, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 776.922756, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098688, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.361384, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.194096, "excess_performance": -0.150387, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.163812, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001032, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098688, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.223645, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.143614, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.219104, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.194096, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.205289, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 952516, "relative_activity": 1.165858, "balance": 0.205289, "dry_up": 1.986927, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079093, "annualized_volatility": 0.256102, "from_high_reference": -0.314958, "from_low_reference": 0.072358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 837.431671, "fair_value_reference": 776.922756, "structural_low": 653.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.012781, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": 0.013311, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.109916, "worst_return": -0.153327, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.034619, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.016345, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.096621, "worst_return": -0.115489, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.128465, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.194146, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.19058, "worst_return": -0.07336, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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752.313322, 790.358175, 829.914047, 837.923012 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 700.25, "volume": 952516, "typical_volume": 817008.6, "trend": 837.431671, "fair_value": 776.922756, "relative_strength": -14.361384, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.720952, "energy": 87.024572, "activity_lines": [ 727.413326, 768.766358, 816.035951, 828.820216 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }