{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f58a484f-3fe5-4506-babc-d15bb2dd5d76", "symbol": "300047", "name": "Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.472, "architecture_energy": 40.749, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 60.039, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.24, "rotation_up": 26.52, "upward_expansion": 18.18, "deceleration": 66.95, "rotation_down": 41.89, "downward_expansion": 68.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.656667, 9.501908, 10.236141, 10.860369 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 10.11, "trend_reference": 11.738307, "distance_from_trend": -0.138717, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.485426, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.119754, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.531881, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.244959, "excess_performance": -0.252359, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.138717, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.111788, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.119754, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.248608, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.275319, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026987, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.244959, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.012782, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 103821862, "relative_activity": 1.327849, "balance": 1.012782, "dry_up": 1.390738, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095373, "annualized_volatility": 0.400789, "from_high_reference": -0.524906, "from_low_reference": 0.164747 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.738307, "fair_value_reference": 11.485426, "structural_low": 8.68, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.002541, "positive_rate": 0.565217, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": -0.027164, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.242963, "worst_return": -0.216721, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.016122, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.012316, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.925311, "worst_return": -0.25523, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040752, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.158572, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.175359, "worst_return": -0.268694, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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76319872.15, "trend": 11.891973, "fair_value": 11.454335, "relative_strength": -34.955503, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.530665, "energy": 65.4705, "activity_lines": [ 9.056, 9.416714, 10.417133, 11.090151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.04, "volume": 117141639, "typical_volume": 77283224.3, "trend": 11.81964, "fair_value": 11.467835, "relative_strength": -25.229338, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.002648, "energy": 52.415589, "activity_lines": [ 9.382667, 9.434114, 10.316613, 10.970668 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.11, "volume": 103821862, "typical_volume": 78188011.65, "trend": 11.738307, "fair_value": 11.485426, "relative_strength": -27.531881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.471733, "energy": 40.749404, "activity_lines": [ 9.656667, 9.501908, 10.236141, 10.860369 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }