{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f5a5f0f3-e753-4ae9-8c44-f1886ad150b1", "symbol": "301015", "name": "Qingdao Baheal Medical INC.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 62.73, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 15.361, "architecture_energy": 20.939, "architecture_maturity": 15.121, "architecture_confidence": 52.485, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.5, "rotation_up": 58.15, "upward_expansion": 33.33, "deceleration": 32.64, "rotation_down": 12.88, "downward_expansion": 20.33 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.936667, 22.155818, 22.186422, 22.372532 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.870001, "trend_reference": 22.678044, "distance_from_trend": 0.05256, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.217874, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.014364, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.458802, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.044561, "excess_performance": 0.037161, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05256, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019309, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.014364, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00044, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.024588, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121063, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.044561, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.801353, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37088593, "relative_activity": 0.947537, "balance": 0.801353, "dry_up": 1.202227, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076459, "annualized_volatility": 0.446729, "from_high_reference": -0.243516, "from_low_reference": 0.281267 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 22.678044, "fair_value_reference": 24.217874, "structural_low": 18.629999, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.042001, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.026773, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.151459, "worst_return": -0.21768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.07506, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.059122, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.38481, "worst_return": -0.260413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.011469, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.05898, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.211646, "worst_return": -0.174511, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.974685, "energy": 22.067701, "activity_lines": [ 21.582667, 21.312179, 22.024593, 22.318081 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.639999, "volume": 44944476, "typical_volume": 37386809.1, "trend": 22.681289, "fair_value": 24.227848, "relative_strength": -4.439367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.588906, "energy": 18.742852, "activity_lines": [ 22.061333, 21.541741, 22.052964, 22.315129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.35, "volume": 28598999, "typical_volume": 38015179.1, "trend": 22.648974, "fair_value": 24.217551, "relative_strength": -4.048235, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.569854, "energy": 22.471979, "activity_lines": [ 22.352666, 21.711618, 22.048693, 22.293756 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.870001, "volume": 37088593, "typical_volume": 39142112.6, "trend": 22.678044, "fair_value": 24.217874, "relative_strength": -2.458802, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 15.360934, "energy": 20.939268, "activity_lines": [ 22.936667, 22.155818, 22.186422, 22.372532 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }