{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f5b8fad4-2e39-4ed0-acd4-79ee3ea7572d", "symbol": "ASEA", "name": "GLOBAL X FDS GLOBAL X FTSE SOUTHEAST ASIA ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 83.281, "architecture_energy": 90.33, "architecture_maturity": 15.003, "architecture_confidence": 72.137, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.81, "rotation_up": 86.06, "upward_expansion": 98.88, "deceleration": 39.02, "rotation_down": 8.38, "downward_expansion": 20.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.1511, 20.693653, 20.1882, 19.986654 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 21.5273, "trend_reference": 19.794641, "distance_from_trend": 0.087532, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.049465, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.341309, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.122301, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.076903, "excess_performance": -0.048721, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087532, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.040555, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.341309, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091342, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.021223, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053771, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.076903, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.646083, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 123761, "relative_activity": 0.857147, "balance": 1.646083, "dry_up": 0.855793, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026945, "annualized_volatility": 0.149267, "from_high_reference": -0.002904, "from_low_reference": 0.304766 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.794641, "fair_value_reference": 16.049465, "structural_low": 18.763018, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.011428, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": 0.001185, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.094501, "worst_return": -0.062316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.001355, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.032884, "regime_survival": 0.272727, "best_return": 0.142557, "worst_return": -0.066206, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.03136, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.019629, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.155018, "worst_return": -0.057374, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 75.081117, "activity_lines": [ 20.370909, 20.016749, 19.753675, 19.682541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 20.9, "volume": 100688, "typical_volume": 157284.95, "trend": 19.608731, "fair_value": 15.953895, "relative_strength": 3.976399, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.986921, "energy": 79.691855, "activity_lines": [ 20.609438, 20.219878, 19.880856, 19.771181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.12, "volume": 87160, "typical_volume": 146586.95, "trend": 19.698731, "fair_value": 16.000186, "relative_strength": 3.79312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.982433, "energy": 85.057469, "activity_lines": [ 20.863227, 20.434307, 20.020323, 19.868682 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.5273, "volume": 123761, "typical_volume": 144387.15, "trend": 19.794641, "fair_value": 16.049465, "relative_strength": 2.122301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.28146, "energy": 90.330235, "activity_lines": [ 21.1511, 20.693653, 20.1882, 19.986654 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }