{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f5bca058-f50b-474a-a997-9cb51b3b2da5", "symbol": "BUTTERFLY", "name": "Butterfly Gandhimathi Appliances Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.452, "architecture_energy": 43.413, "architecture_maturity": 19.073, "architecture_confidence": 80.498, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.56, "rotation_up": 59.59, "upward_expansion": 78.45, "deceleration": 61.25, "rotation_down": 16.66, "downward_expansion": 5.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 723.77668, 713.84728, 688.030479, 669.874947 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 681.75, "trend_reference": 648.153333, "distance_from_trend": 0.051834, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 800.623397, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148476, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.524056, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.087581, "excess_performance": 0.13129, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.051834, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007944, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.148476, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107283, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.025241, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076106, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087581, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.184714, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 362020, "relative_activity": 0.581033, "balance": 8.184714, "dry_up": 0.460094, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.084347, "annualized_volatility": 0.326809, "from_high_reference": -0.172483, "from_low_reference": 0.204931 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 648.153333, "fair_value_reference": 800.623397, "structural_low": 575.900024, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": -0.017247, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.04224, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.272988, "worst_return": -0.204162, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.068472, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.017741, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.270895, "worst_return": -0.220082, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.034147, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.060389, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.458399, "worst_return": -0.443532, "sufficient": true }, { 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"volume": 117780, "typical_volume": 829963.1, "trend": 643.753333, "fair_value": 806.974678, "relative_strength": 18.370276, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.422246, "energy": 84.076866, "activity_lines": [ 746.043347, 710.970912, 680.467857, 662.691504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 719.650024, "volume": 212344, "typical_volume": 755178.9, "trend": 646.303333, "fair_value": 803.891666, "relative_strength": 8.955597, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.613125, "energy": 74.514375, "activity_lines": [ 743.320019, 716.356371, 686.260955, 667.588065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 681.75, "volume": 362020, "typical_volume": 623062.45, "trend": 648.153333, "fair_value": 800.623397, "relative_strength": 2.524056, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.451825, "energy": 43.413173, "activity_lines": [ 723.77668, 713.84728, 688.030479, 669.874947 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }