{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f5d77965-8c7d-48f8-b891-2b52758defac", "symbol": "V3PA", "name": "Vanguard ESG Developed Asia Pacific All Cap UCITS ETF USD Accumulating", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.252, "architecture_energy": 25.764, "architecture_maturity": 64.253, "architecture_confidence": 89.626, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.05, "rotation_up": 18.65, "upward_expansion": 53.11, "deceleration": 93.99, "rotation_down": 35.39, "downward_expansion": 19.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.2566, 9.438436, 9.357143, 9.100396 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 9.335, "trend_reference": 8.7598, "distance_from_trend": 0.065664, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.757154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.381499, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.300795, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.161648, "excess_performance": 0.097008, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065664, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095135, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.381499, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.038581, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073008, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.165944, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.161648, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.908321, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 196234, "relative_activity": 1.140189, "balance": 0.908321, "dry_up": 1.751793, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048016, "annualized_volatility": 0.243737, "from_high_reference": -0.087131, "from_low_reference": 0.395366 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.7598, "fair_value_reference": 6.757154, "structural_low": 7.626, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of 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"relative_strength": 18.05493, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.168851, "energy": 76.610184, "activity_lines": [ 9.837, 9.649855, 9.172414, 8.863598 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 9.701, "volume": 198474, "typical_volume": 156696.35, "trend": 8.514233, "fair_value": 6.664513, "relative_strength": 19.586976, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.213865, "energy": 64.427789, "activity_lines": [ 9.819667, 9.696273, 9.256114, 8.945658 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.142, "volume": 143522, "typical_volume": 151881.5, "trend": 8.5788, "fair_value": 6.687353, "relative_strength": 13.062905, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.669868, "energy": 43.686489, "activity_lines": [ 9.590533, 9.620055, 9.280762, 8.986159 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.267, "volume": 397725, "typical_volume": 157312.7, "trend": 8.646133, "fair_value": 6.709981, "relative_strength": 12.716079, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.522375, "energy": 28.185712, "activity_lines": [ 9.432133, 9.566473, 9.315029, 9.030559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.097, "volume": 468499, "typical_volume": 170886.35, "trend": 8.7034, "fair_value": 6.732641, "relative_strength": 7.863935, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.159603, "energy": 25.853445, "activity_lines": [ 9.277133, 9.479309, 9.327424, 9.059647 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.335, "volume": 196234, "typical_volume": 172106.5, "trend": 8.7598, "fair_value": 6.757154, "relative_strength": 7.300795, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.251714, "energy": 25.764358, "activity_lines": [ 9.2566, 9.438436, 9.357143, 9.100396 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }