{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f604cf41-bad7-4360-a2c2-da54128812d2", "symbol": "4161", "name": "Bioptik Technology Incorporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 80.826, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -18.037, "architecture_energy": 13.645, "architecture_maturity": 25.382, "architecture_confidence": 57.152, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.1, "rotation_up": 30.18, "upward_expansion": 25.21, "deceleration": 49.43, "rotation_down": 28.18, "downward_expansion": 51.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.936667, 22.728595, 22.648471, 22.957902 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 22.9, "trend_reference": 23.549647, "distance_from_trend": -0.027586, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.773148, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.144665, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -34.83772, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.079313, "excess_performance": -0.520685, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.027586, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.033602, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.144665, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025941, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.348377, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057773, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.079313, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.306953, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 228413, "relative_activity": 0.603844, "balance": 1.306953, "dry_up": 0.393194, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039327, "annualized_volatility": 0.180729, "from_high_reference": -0.225717, "from_low_reference": 0.080189 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.549647, "fair_value_reference": 26.773148, "structural_low": 21.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.007519, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.526316, "median_excess_return": -0.006613, "regime_survival": 0.578947, "best_return": 0.190551, "worst_return": -0.112392, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.005936, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043256, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.119751, "worst_return": -0.153704, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.01817, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.057901, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.229167, "worst_return": -0.145455, "sufficient": 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-03-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.133117, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.068571, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.065185, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.05621, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.031746, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "New", 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"relative_strength": -34.012346, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.507219, "energy": 26.252532, "activity_lines": [ 22.47, 22.426226, 22.561371, 22.997472 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.700001, "volume": 127408, "typical_volume": 385547.45, "trend": 23.594395, "fair_value": 26.806633, "relative_strength": -31.048441, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -2.391185, "energy": 8.819297, "activity_lines": [ 22.873536, 22.66416, 22.642187, 23.002702 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 22.9, "volume": 228413, "typical_volume": 378265.1, "trend": 23.549647, "fair_value": 26.773148, "relative_strength": -34.83772, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.036769, "energy": 13.644698, "activity_lines": [ 22.936667, 22.728595, 22.648471, 22.957902 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }