{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f605d1e7-72c8-4b0e-8bc0-719cc5238968", "symbol": "KUH", "name": "TSH Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 34.169, "architecture_energy": 22.428, "architecture_maturity": 59.57, "architecture_confidence": 82.115, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.3, "rotation_up": 23.68, "upward_expansion": 55.41, "deceleration": 91.15, "rotation_down": 30.13, "downward_expansion": 19.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1636, 0.168455, 0.161067, 0.157037 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.16, "trend_reference": 0.149604, "distance_from_trend": 0.069494, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.123765, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292775, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.59846, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.245369, "excess_performance": 0.090534, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.069494, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093738, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.292775, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.230616, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.035985, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105749, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.245369, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.96, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.96, "dry_up": 0.124023, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095542, "annualized_volatility": 1.099173, "from_high_reference": -0.192029, "from_low_reference": 0.492203 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.149604, "fair_value_reference": 0.123765, "structural_low": 0.119782, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.001564, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.036671, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.376923, "worst_return": -0.30534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.198931, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.105953, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.967021, "worst_return": -0.30534, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.099011, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.088578, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.186804, "worst_return": -0.111104, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"green", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.499994, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.148151, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.048388, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.374993, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.075759, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.139347, "active": 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"volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25795.0, "trend": 0.14538, "fair_value": 0.12608, "relative_strength": 14.179042, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.606396, "energy": 84.477204, "activity_lines": [ 0.1784, 0.168496, 0.157926, 0.152588 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.178, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25420.0, "trend": 0.147031, "fair_value": 0.125704, "relative_strength": 11.934616, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.27066, "energy": 81.934451, "activity_lines": [ 0.1782, 0.171582, 0.160173, 0.154693 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.16, "volume": 12300, "typical_volume": 25985.0, "trend": 0.147792, "fair_value": 0.125057, "relative_strength": -1.257164, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.250571, "energy": 41.958868, "activity_lines": [ 0.172067, 0.1706, 0.160506, 0.15553 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.16, "volume": 400, "typical_volume": 25940.0, "trend": 0.148843, "fair_value": 0.124411, "relative_strength": -2.176518, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.779178, "energy": 25.33392, "activity_lines": [ 0.1672, 0.169382, 0.160717, 0.156317 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.16, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25600.0, "trend": 0.149604, "fair_value": 0.123765, "relative_strength": -3.59846, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.169143, "energy": 22.428239, "activity_lines": [ 0.1636, 0.168455, 0.161067, 0.157037 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }