{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f61f0cf0-b053-46c4-84dc-3946fe113549",
    "symbol": "FCCQ",
    "name": "Fidelity Canadian High Quality ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 74.232,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.168,
    "architecture_energy": 79.786,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.19,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 20.87,
        "rotation_up": 75.68,
        "upward_expansion": 89.78,
        "deceleration": 45.14,
        "rotation_down": 10.89,
        "downward_expansion": 16.45
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        51.557451
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 54.650002,
    "trend_reference": 51.140033,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.068634,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 39.231596,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.39301,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.564704,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.106788,
    "excess_performance": -0.013634,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068634,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026231,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.39301,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006059,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005647,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008253,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106788,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.44127,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2800,
      "relative_activity": 0.364583,
      "balance": 1.44127,
      "dry_up": 0.963542,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.017551,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.174643,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.327327
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 51.140033,
      "fair_value_reference": 39.231596,
      "structural_low": 46.998349,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 47,
        "median_return": 0.009223,
        "positive_rate": 0.638298,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.638298,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001075,
        "regime_survival": 0.787234,
        "best_return": 0.125595,
        "worst_return": -0.089234,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "positive_rate": 0.8125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8125,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002264,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.154625,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.162501,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.067008,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 14980.0,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 50.023933,
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        "relative_strength": -2.202816,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 51.519341,
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        "typical_volume": 12700.0,
        "trend": 50.19787,
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        "relative_strength": -2.553015,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.478005,
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 50.465058,
        "fair_value": 38.33103,
        "relative_strength": -2.631864,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.693005,
        "energy": 23.588931,
        "activity_lines": [
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          50.912451
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 52.27,
        "volume": 2400,
        "typical_volume": 10020.0,
        "trend": 50.594273,
        "fair_value": 38.486314,
        "relative_strength": -1.934843,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 38.634066,
        "relative_strength": -2.799635,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 47.033686,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 51.610001,
        "volume": 7400,
        "typical_volume": 8755.0,
        "trend": 50.79401,
        "fair_value": 38.777265,
        "relative_strength": -3.156826,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.523847,
        "energy": 46.309887,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.775365,
          51.602503,
          51.400066,
          51.169968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 51.580002,
        "volume": 3900,
        "typical_volume": 8470.0,
        "trend": 50.861515,
        "fair_value": 38.919597,
        "relative_strength": -3.461794,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.673456,
        "energy": 42.524424,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.735334,
          51.630244,
          51.451617,
          51.220678
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.419998,
        "volume": 15500,
        "typical_volume": 8105.0,
        "trend": 50.98849,
        "fair_value": 39.069339,
        "relative_strength": -1.480402,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.249819,
        "energy": 44.90362,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.952,
          51.792402,
          51.580594,
          51.321225
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 54.650002,
        "volume": 2800,
        "typical_volume": 7680.0,
        "trend": 51.140033,
        "fair_value": 39.231596,
        "relative_strength": -0.564704,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.16793,
        "energy": 79.786366,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.851334,
          52.33694,
          51.909216,
          51.557451
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}