{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f6291d25-bbb8-4ba6-b868-a1a327b7bbdc",
    "symbol": "HIMX",
    "name": "Himax Technologies Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 4.084,
    "architecture_energy": 14.907,
    "architecture_maturity": 57.075,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.523,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 53.86,
        "rotation_up": 16.25,
        "upward_expansion": 41.18,
        "deceleration": 84.71,
        "rotation_down": 42.6,
        "downward_expansion": 37.51
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        13.46,
        14.023908,
        15.059811,
        13.958003
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 14.61,
    "trend_reference": 12.306903,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.187139,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 7.890669,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.851554,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 23.114807,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.847029,
    "excess_performance": 0.659575,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.187139,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.22949,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.851554,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.623952,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.231148,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.43941,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.847029,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.910523,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10618728,
      "relative_activity": 0.632062,
      "balance": 0.910523,
      "dry_up": 0.470689,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.222899,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.956689,
      "from_high_reference": -0.40813,
      "from_low_reference": 1.132847
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 12.306903,
      "fair_value_reference": 7.890669,
      "structural_low": 7.02,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.016929,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": -0.026812,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.232456,
        "worst_return": -0.235225,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.058127,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.069268,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.097953,
        "worst_return": -0.002695,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.060717,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083121,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.717117,
        "worst_return": 0.010588,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.15547,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.228991,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.364184,
        "worst_return": -0.053245,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.030868,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.307393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.252955,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.276662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.085262,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.197964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.252022,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.014865,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.016484,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.127033,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.111027,
        "active": true
      }
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 20101227.9,
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        "fair_value": 7.756994,
        "relative_strength": 13.704333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 21.857025,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 5493491,
        "typical_volume": 20008101.7,
        "trend": 11.95857,
        "fair_value": 7.796323,
        "relative_strength": 13.716276,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 1.835262,
        "energy": 16.473915,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.54,
        "volume": 7548501,
        "typical_volume": 17450641.55,
        "trend": 12.092236,
        "fair_value": 7.837158,
        "relative_strength": 12.038814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 0.842165,
        "energy": 14.899691,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.012667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.61,
        "volume": 10618728,
        "typical_volume": 16800124.45,
        "trend": 12.306903,
        "fair_value": 7.890669,
        "relative_strength": 23.114807,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.084046,
        "energy": 14.906729,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.46,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}