{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "f6313668-cfd8-4501-b003-7711f710d9e2",
    "symbol": "PXC",
    "name": "Phoenix Copper Limited",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -67.331,
    "architecture_energy": 85.39,
    "architecture_maturity": 30.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.991,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.06,
        "rotation_up": 8.68,
        "upward_expansion": 21.12,
        "deceleration": 37.05,
        "rotation_down": 79.49,
        "downward_expansion": 96.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.004363,
        0.00624,
        0.00839,
        0.00944
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0048,
    "trend_reference": 0.01174,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.591141,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.090416,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.946912,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -76.336712,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.76,
    "excess_performance": -0.811235,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.591141,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.324964,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.946912,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.055379,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.763367,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.177595,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.76,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.24528,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 127990754,
      "relative_activity": 6.380867,
      "balance": 1.24528,
      "dry_up": 3.628723,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.511218,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.652739,
      "from_high_reference": -0.888372,
      "from_low_reference": 0.450151
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.01174,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.090416,
      "structural_low": 0.00331,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.0204,
        "positive_rate": 0.55,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -1.6e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
        "best_return": 0.680672,
        "worst_return": -0.4625,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.133536,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.091181,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.469388,
        "worst_return": -0.598039,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.376471,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.362255,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.089286,
        "worst_return": -0.603774,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.336957,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.373852,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": -0.08046,
        "worst_return": -0.705556,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "return": 0.0625,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 11869753.3,
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        "relative_strength": -79.403289,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0037,
        "volume": 48275252,
        "typical_volume": 13855528.3,
        "trend": 0.01258,
        "fair_value": 0.092116,
        "relative_strength": -82.23885,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -78.05606,
        "energy": 90.596784,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.00464,
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          0.008871,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0048,
        "volume": 127990754,
        "typical_volume": 20058520.3,
        "trend": 0.01174,
        "fair_value": 0.090416,
        "relative_strength": -76.336712,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.331305,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}