{ "ticker": { "uuid": "f635e0a6-eb79-4b6b-8b55-d27f18466e08", "symbol": "DEI", "name": "Douglas Emmett Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.876, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 41.19, "architecture_energy": 28.441, "architecture_maturity": 44.787, "architecture_confidence": 43.818, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.35, "rotation_up": 36.2, "upward_expansion": 62.41, "deceleration": 65.19, "rotation_down": 24.58, "downward_expansion": 14.74 }, "activity_lines": [ 11.973333, 12.02572, 11.776028, 11.34949 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 11.69, "trend_reference": 10.903525, "distance_from_trend": 0.07213, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.0211, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.102226, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.789395, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.126137, "excess_performance": 0.000512, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.07213, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024591, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.102226, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.042587, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.117894, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012588, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126137, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.012973, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11391503, "relative_activity": 1.013982, "balance": 1.012973, "dry_up": 0.907463, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.074432, "annualized_volatility": 0.32289, "from_high_reference": -0.277009, "from_low_reference": 0.307652 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.903525, "fair_value_reference": 13.0211, "structural_low": 8.939688, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.021305, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.041894, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.126972, "worst_return": -0.182502, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.05139, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.104843, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.176826, "worst_return": -0.30599, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.108385, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.142232, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.116349, "worst_return": -0.407411, "sufficient": false }, { 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11646899.85, "trend": 10.844247, "fair_value": 13.024413, "relative_strength": -4.525573, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.884262, "energy": 45.277763, "activity_lines": [ 12.282063, 12.102891, 11.658554, 11.234057 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.82, "volume": 8306461, "typical_volume": 11426618.85, "trend": 10.876543, "fair_value": 13.021739, "relative_strength": -8.363481, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.055954, "energy": 36.518814, "activity_lines": [ 12.152, 12.081047, 11.728892, 11.297008 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.69, "volume": 11391503, "typical_volume": 11234418.95, "trend": 10.903525, "fair_value": 13.0211, "relative_strength": -11.789395, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.190405, "energy": 28.441399, "activity_lines": [ 11.973333, 12.02572, 11.776028, 11.34949 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }